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January 15th, 1999 Edition
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Industry News |
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M & A IN A NUTSHELL - If you want to see just how big merger and
acquisition activity was in 1998, check out
http://www.fsonline.com/enews_archive/enews011599/m_a.html. It is
a 6-page alphabetical summary of all of 1998's transactions,
compiled and provided by Ingrid Faro for the Illinois State
Association of Health Underwriters. Addendum to the list: Mass
Mutual recently applied for a thrift charter to establish "Blue
Chip Trust Co." as a federal savings bank to offer trust services
to wealthy clients. In addition, PennCorp Financial Group
announced on January 4 that it is selling its Career Sales
Division and related assets to Universal American Financial
Corp., while Pacific Life and Accident, a PennCorp subsidiary, is
selling its worksite insurance subsidiary, Professional Insurance
Company, to GE Capital's GE Financial Assurance Holdings, Inc.
CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM - When the stock market closed on 12/31/98, it
marked the fourth year of double-digit gains, with the Dow Jones
average rising 16.1% in 1998. The S&P 500 index rose 26.7% in
'98, but was topped by the Nasdaq, which gained a whopping 39.6%.
1998's volatility, however, has left many investors more
cautious, particularly when combined with ongoing international
turbulence and its impact on the stock market.
S&P BEST AND WORST - Here are the best- and worst-performing
stocks in the S&P 500 index for 1998:
Best Performing Worst Performing
=============== ================
1. Dell Computer, +248.5% 1. Harnischfeger, Inc., -71.2%
2. Apple Computer, +211.9% 2. Ikon Office Solutions, -69.6%
3. Lucent, +175.4% 3. Venator Group, Inc., -68.4%
4. Ascend, +168.4% 4. Rowan Cos., -67.2%
5. Cisco Systems, +149.7% 5. Case Corp., -63.9%
6. Providian 6. Union Pacific
Financial, +149.0% Resources, -62.6%
7. Unisys Corp, +148.2% 7. Polaroid, -61.6%
8. Novell, Inc., +141.7% 8. Thermo Electron
Instruments Corp, -61.5%
WHAT IS IT WITH THE INTERNET STOCKS? - While the S&P results
above reflect the importance of high tech stocks, they don't
include any Internet stocks (AOL joined the S&P just this month).
Despite posting losses in many cases, these "darlings" of the
market continue to grow in stock value (Amazon.com,
Broadcast.com, etc.) The much "bally-hooed" Internet discount
trader, E-Trade, lost $13 million last quarter and its stock rose
30%. Investors seem to be betting that the Net is the future,
but sooner or later, it seems that these stock values will need
to reflect some relation between earnings and value.
P&C LOSSES - Major storms in 1998 (including Hurricane George)
ran catastrophic losses just over $10 billion for the
year...third worst year in history. FYI, 1992 saw losses of
$22.9 billion (mainly from Hurricane Andrew) and 1994 had $17
billion (mostly due to the California earthquake).
INTERNET ACTIVITY - Broker World's January issue contains its
annual Chief Executive Forum. Virtually all of the industry
leaders speak of the impact of technology and the Internet on
their business. The industry has been accused of being
notoriously slow on the "uptake" concerning the Internet, but
apparently we are "coming of age."
INTERNET ADVERTISING - Speaking of "coming of age," while most
industry executives see the future of the Internet, few seem to
understand that now is the time to position their companies with
Internet advertisers. For a brief presentation on Internet
advertising within the industry, go to
http://www.fsonline.com/promo. For Internet advertising to the
public, see http://www.soupserver.com/promo.
FINANCIAL SERVICES REFORM - In yet another twist, the leaders of
both the House and Senate Banking Committees are moving quickly
to give new life to financial services reform legislation. House
Banking Chairman Jim Leach introduced a financial reform bill on
January 6, the first day of the new Congress. New Senate Banking
Chairman Phil Gramm, who was instrumental in killing last year's
legislation, now sees such a bill as "his highest priority" and
is predicting Senate Banking Committee approval of legislation by
the end of February. A major stumbling block, however, may
continue to be Community Reinvestment Act requirements in the new
legislation.
AT RISK - In its annual Best's Review Preview report, A.M. Best
Co. states that about one-third of U.S. life/health insurers are
at risk in the converging financial services market. About 10%
of life/health insurers are positioned to remain highly
competitive and the rest of the industry can be expected to
maintain average performance. According to Best, competitive
factors that insurance companies must be concerned with include
over-reliance on low interest rates, a strong stock market and
regulatory protections (all external factors which may change
drastically and are outside of companies' control), as well as
being forced to compete with "nontraditional" rivals that have
lower cost structures.
HEALTH CARE COSTS - As predicted earlier in the E-News, group
health costs for 1999 will increase by 7% (nearly twice the 1998
increase). This comes from a Towers Perrin survey that further
predicts HMO costs rising faster than those for traditional
indemnity plans.
BROKER-DEALERS PROFITS UP - The IAFP reports that broker-dealers
had a net income increase of 28% in 1998. Their survey also
indicates a decrease in the percentage of revenue from mutual
funds (still the largest "money maker," however) and an increase
in the percentages from annuities and fees.
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| | Marketing/Tax Update |
Virtual Sales Assistant Discounts - The regular price for
LUTC's VSA (http://www.lutc.com) is $19.95 per month, with the
first month free. We've been asked about discounts available, so
here are a few:
- LUTCFs: All LUTCFs get the first month free and then pay $15.95
per month. Please subscribe by fax and include a copy of your
business card to verify your designation.
- ASCENSUS: A national insurance brokerage firm that provides a
free subscription to high-producing agents or provides a 20%
discount [$15.95] for all licensed producers. Call Jerry Neff at
800-453-5693 for details regarding a company-paid subscription or
to see if you are currently licensed with them (in that case,
simply put ASC in the company code of the subscription
application to receive the 20% discount).
- Kansas City Life: Provides the first four months free and then
a rate of $15.95 thereafter for licensed agents. Contact Bill
Burnett, VP at 800-572-2467 for details.
- Protective: Provides first month free and payroll deducts at
$15 per month thereafter. Contact Lisa Ruggieri at 800-866-3555
if you are a licensed producer for Protective. Also, see
http://www.3mark.com for discounts from Protective MGA, "3Mark."
o American National: Pays for all exclusive agents.
There are others "in the mill."
Visit http://www.lutc.com/fso1/membinfo.html for subscriber
information and subscription forms.
1999 TAX UPDATE - While there are no major tax changes taking
effect in 1999 (at least not yet!), there are a broad range of
tax matters that may impact you and your clients. Here are the
highlights:
INCOME TAXES - The self-employed health insurance deduction
increases to 60% in 1999 (up from 45% in '98), the child tax
credit rises to $500 for children under 17 (up from $400 in '98)
and deductible interest on student loans increases to $1,500 from
$1,000 in 1998. More people will be able to deduct the costs of
a home office in 1999 (a home office can be used for managerial
purposes only in 1999 and qualify for the home office deduction;
still must be used exclusively and regularly for business, but
the requirement of meeting with clients need not be satisfied).
There are slight changes in income tax brackets, standard
deductions and the personal exemption deduction, which we've
posted at
http://www.fsonline.com/enews_archive/enews011599/1999tax.html.
SOCIAL SECURITY - The social security tax remains at 12.4% (6.20%
each on employers and employees), but the taxable wage base has
increased to $72,600. The Medicare tax remains at 2.9% (1.45%
each on employers and employees) on total wages. Social security
recipients under age 65 may earn up to $9,600 in 1999 without
losing benefits; from ages 65 through 69, they may earn up to
$15,500; there is no reduction beginning at age 70.
ESTATE AND GIFT TAXES - The estate and gift tax unified credit
equivalent increases to $650,000 in 1999. Also, the $10,000
annual gift tax exclusion and the $1,000,000 generation-skipping
tax exemption were scheduled to be indexed to inflation beginning
in 1999 (in $1,000 increments for the former and $10,000
increments for the latter). With inflation at such a low rate,
however, the annual gift tax exclusion will remain at $10,000 in
1999 and the GST exemption will increase just $10,000 to
$1,010,000.
1999 STANDARD MILEAGE ALLOWANCE - For the first time ever, the
standard mileage allowance for business driving has dropped...to
31 cents per mile from 32-1/2 cents in 1998. The change,
originally scheduled for January 1, has been delayed until April
to give companies time to make necessary software and procedural
changes.
MEDICARE INFORMATION - There are a lot of things our government
doesn't do right, but providing information on the Net isn't one
of them. The IRS site is very useful. Another site you may want
to check out is http://www.medicare.gov. It is well done and has
answers to all your or your clients' Medicare questions.
ELDER BOOM - Remember when the "peanut gallery" reached middle
age? Now we "boomers" are creating the "elder boom." The first
"boomers" will reach age 65 in 2011; by 2020 nearly 20% of the
U.S. population will be age 65+. With medical advances, even
longer life expectancies are predicted. If you were once part of
the "peanut gallery," this may make you feel old, but look at the
silver lining...great opportunities exist in retirement planning
and long-term care sales.
ESTATE TAX ATTACK? - A report by the Congressional Joint Economic
Committee describes the estate tax as having "no redeeming
qualities." It further states that the tax does not reduce
inequities and that the $23 billion it raises in annual revenue
is "illusory" since estate tax avoidance techniques can create
huge income tax losses. Not sure what all this means, but it
might not be good news for estate planning specialists and
charitable institutions.
FEDMAN - Alan Greenspan leaping tall buildings in a single bound?
Not quite, but the six comic books published free by the Federal
Reserve Bank of New York (http://www.ny.frb.org) are apparently
quite effective in teaching the serious business of economics.
The comics, which include "The Story of Money" and "The Story of
Banks," are even being used in college economics courses.
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