FINANCIAL E-NEWS from Financial Services Online (http://www.fsonline.com)

January 15th, 1999 Edition

National Life of Vermont
National Life of Vermont

Ascensus
Ascensus


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Industry News

M & A IN A NUTSHELL - If you want to see just how big merger and acquisition activity was in 1998, check out http://www.fsonline.com/enews_archive/enews011599/m_a.html. It is a 6-page alphabetical summary of all of 1998's transactions, compiled and provided by Ingrid Faro for the Illinois State Association of Health Underwriters. Addendum to the list: Mass Mutual recently applied for a thrift charter to establish "Blue Chip Trust Co." as a federal savings bank to offer trust services to wealthy clients. In addition, PennCorp Financial Group announced on January 4 that it is selling its Career Sales Division and related assets to Universal American Financial Corp., while Pacific Life and Accident, a PennCorp subsidiary, is selling its worksite insurance subsidiary, Professional Insurance Company, to GE Capital's GE Financial Assurance Holdings, Inc.

CAUTIOUS OPTIMISM - When the stock market closed on 12/31/98, it marked the fourth year of double-digit gains, with the Dow Jones average rising 16.1% in 1998. The S&P 500 index rose 26.7% in '98, but was topped by the Nasdaq, which gained a whopping 39.6%. 1998's volatility, however, has left many investors more cautious, particularly when combined with ongoing international turbulence and its impact on the stock market.

S&P BEST AND WORST - Here are the best- and worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 index for 1998:

Best Performing                 Worst Performing
===============                 ================
1. Dell Computer, +248.5%       1. Harnischfeger, Inc., -71.2%
2. Apple Computer, +211.9%      2. Ikon Office Solutions, -69.6%
3. Lucent, +175.4%              3. Venator Group, Inc., -68.4%
4. Ascend, +168.4%              4. Rowan Cos., -67.2%
5. Cisco Systems, +149.7%       5. Case Corp., -63.9%
6. Providian                    6. Union Pacific
     Financial, +149.0%               Resources, -62.6%
7. Unisys Corp, +148.2%         7. Polaroid, -61.6%
8. Novell, Inc., +141.7%        8. Thermo Electron
                                     Instruments Corp, -61.5%

WHAT IS IT WITH THE INTERNET STOCKS? - While the S&P results above reflect the importance of high tech stocks, they don't include any Internet stocks (AOL joined the S&P just this month). Despite posting losses in many cases, these "darlings" of the market continue to grow in stock value (Amazon.com, Broadcast.com, etc.) The much "bally-hooed" Internet discount trader, E-Trade, lost $13 million last quarter and its stock rose 30%. Investors seem to be betting that the Net is the future, but sooner or later, it seems that these stock values will need to reflect some relation between earnings and value.

P&C LOSSES - Major storms in 1998 (including Hurricane George) ran catastrophic losses just over $10 billion for the year...third worst year in history. FYI, 1992 saw losses of $22.9 billion (mainly from Hurricane Andrew) and 1994 had $17 billion (mostly due to the California earthquake).

INTERNET ACTIVITY - Broker World's January issue contains its annual Chief Executive Forum. Virtually all of the industry leaders speak of the impact of technology and the Internet on their business. The industry has been accused of being notoriously slow on the "uptake" concerning the Internet, but apparently we are "coming of age."

INTERNET ADVERTISING - Speaking of "coming of age," while most industry executives see the future of the Internet, few seem to understand that now is the time to position their companies with Internet advertisers. For a brief presentation on Internet advertising within the industry, go to http://www.fsonline.com/promo. For Internet advertising to the public, see http://www.soupserver.com/promo.

FINANCIAL SERVICES REFORM - In yet another twist, the leaders of both the House and Senate Banking Committees are moving quickly to give new life to financial services reform legislation. House Banking Chairman Jim Leach introduced a financial reform bill on January 6, the first day of the new Congress. New Senate Banking Chairman Phil Gramm, who was instrumental in killing last year's legislation, now sees such a bill as "his highest priority" and is predicting Senate Banking Committee approval of legislation by the end of February. A major stumbling block, however, may continue to be Community Reinvestment Act requirements in the new legislation.

AT RISK - In its annual Best's Review Preview report, A.M. Best Co. states that about one-third of U.S. life/health insurers are at risk in the converging financial services market. About 10% of life/health insurers are positioned to remain highly competitive and the rest of the industry can be expected to maintain average performance. According to Best, competitive factors that insurance companies must be concerned with include over-reliance on low interest rates, a strong stock market and regulatory protections (all external factors which may change drastically and are outside of companies' control), as well as being forced to compete with "nontraditional" rivals that have lower cost structures.

HEALTH CARE COSTS - As predicted earlier in the E-News, group health costs for 1999 will increase by 7% (nearly twice the 1998 increase). This comes from a Towers Perrin survey that further predicts HMO costs rising faster than those for traditional indemnity plans.

BROKER-DEALERS PROFITS UP - The IAFP reports that broker-dealers had a net income increase of 28% in 1998. Their survey also indicates a decrease in the percentage of revenue from mutual funds (still the largest "money maker," however) and an increase in the percentages from annuities and fees.

National Life of Vermont
National Life of Vermont

Ascensus
Ascensus


LUTC


Souper Shops - Online shopping!


By visiting our sponsors you will help ensure that Financial E-News keeps coming to your emailbox free of charge!
Marketing/Tax Update


Virtual Sales Assistant Discounts - The regular price for LUTC's VSA (http://www.lutc.com) is $19.95 per month, with the first month free. We've been asked about discounts available, so here are a few:

  • LUTCFs: All LUTCFs get the first month free and then pay $15.95 per month. Please subscribe by fax and include a copy of your business card to verify your designation.
  • ASCENSUS: A national insurance brokerage firm that provides a free subscription to high-producing agents or provides a 20% discount [$15.95] for all licensed producers. Call Jerry Neff at 800-453-5693 for details regarding a company-paid subscription or to see if you are currently licensed with them (in that case, simply put ASC in the company code of the subscription application to receive the 20% discount).
  • Kansas City Life: Provides the first four months free and then a rate of $15.95 thereafter for licensed agents. Contact Bill Burnett, VP at 800-572-2467 for details.
  • Protective: Provides first month free and payroll deducts at $15 per month thereafter. Contact Lisa Ruggieri at 800-866-3555 if you are a licensed producer for Protective. Also, see http://www.3mark.com for discounts from Protective MGA, "3Mark." o American National: Pays for all exclusive agents.

There are others "in the mill."

Visit http://www.lutc.com/fso1/membinfo.html for subscriber information and subscription forms.

1999 TAX UPDATE - While there are no major tax changes taking effect in 1999 (at least not yet!), there are a broad range of tax matters that may impact you and your clients. Here are the highlights:

INCOME TAXES - The self-employed health insurance deduction increases to 60% in 1999 (up from 45% in '98), the child tax credit rises to $500 for children under 17 (up from $400 in '98) and deductible interest on student loans increases to $1,500 from $1,000 in 1998. More people will be able to deduct the costs of a home office in 1999 (a home office can be used for managerial purposes only in 1999 and qualify for the home office deduction; still must be used exclusively and regularly for business, but the requirement of meeting with clients need not be satisfied). There are slight changes in income tax brackets, standard deductions and the personal exemption deduction, which we've posted at http://www.fsonline.com/enews_archive/enews011599/1999tax.html.

SOCIAL SECURITY - The social security tax remains at 12.4% (6.20% each on employers and employees), but the taxable wage base has increased to $72,600. The Medicare tax remains at 2.9% (1.45% each on employers and employees) on total wages. Social security recipients under age 65 may earn up to $9,600 in 1999 without losing benefits; from ages 65 through 69, they may earn up to $15,500; there is no reduction beginning at age 70.

ESTATE AND GIFT TAXES - The estate and gift tax unified credit equivalent increases to $650,000 in 1999. Also, the $10,000 annual gift tax exclusion and the $1,000,000 generation-skipping tax exemption were scheduled to be indexed to inflation beginning in 1999 (in $1,000 increments for the former and $10,000 increments for the latter). With inflation at such a low rate, however, the annual gift tax exclusion will remain at $10,000 in 1999 and the GST exemption will increase just $10,000 to $1,010,000.

1999 STANDARD MILEAGE ALLOWANCE - For the first time ever, the standard mileage allowance for business driving has dropped...to 31 cents per mile from 32-1/2 cents in 1998. The change, originally scheduled for January 1, has been delayed until April to give companies time to make necessary software and procedural changes.

MEDICARE INFORMATION - There are a lot of things our government doesn't do right, but providing information on the Net isn't one of them. The IRS site is very useful. Another site you may want to check out is http://www.medicare.gov. It is well done and has answers to all your or your clients' Medicare questions.

ELDER BOOM - Remember when the "peanut gallery" reached middle age? Now we "boomers" are creating the "elder boom." The first "boomers" will reach age 65 in 2011; by 2020 nearly 20% of the U.S. population will be age 65+. With medical advances, even longer life expectancies are predicted. If you were once part of the "peanut gallery," this may make you feel old, but look at the silver lining...great opportunities exist in retirement planning and long-term care sales.

ESTATE TAX ATTACK? - A report by the Congressional Joint Economic Committee describes the estate tax as having "no redeeming qualities." It further states that the tax does not reduce inequities and that the $23 billion it raises in annual revenue is "illusory" since estate tax avoidance techniques can create huge income tax losses. Not sure what all this means, but it might not be good news for estate planning specialists and charitable institutions.

FEDMAN - Alan Greenspan leaping tall buildings in a single bound? Not quite, but the six comic books published free by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (http://www.ny.frb.org) are apparently quite effective in teaching the serious business of economics. The comics, which include "The Story of Money" and "The Story of Banks," are even being used in college economics courses.


  
 
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