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June 1, 2008
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BERNANKE’S BOLD BEHAVIOR
– Over the past several months, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben
Bernanke has been rewriting his own job description. Some think the
“Bernanke Doctrine” is a move in the right direction, but
others believe there may be unknown risks. "It has been a really
head-spinning range of unprecedented and bold actions...not that
it’s without some cost and without some risk." For more on
Mr. Bernanke, check out Business
Week’s “The
Fed’s Quiet Power Moves.”
BEAR NO
MORE
– The purchase of Bear Stearns, an 85-year-old pillar of Wall
Street, by JPMorgan Chase is now official, with 84% of Bear Stearns
shareholders approving the purchase for about $10 a share, for a total
of $2.2 billion. Not too long ago, Bear shares were trading
in
the $170 range.
FRIGHTFUL
STORM AHEAD? - According to Investment News,
in remarks to the Commonwealth Club of California, “Dallas
Federal Reserve Bank President Richard Fisher predicted a grim economic
outlook for the United States (a “frightful storm” ahead)
and indicated that the Federal Reserve Board may be considering a
change in monetary policy.” Mr. Fisher described swelling
inflation as “the most insidious enemy of capitalism,”
leading some to predict a possible hike in interest rates at the next
Fed meeting in late June.
HOUSING
RESCUE
– The Senate is proposing a homeowner rescue package that would
allow the FHA to back up to $300 billion in new loans for debt-ridden
homeowners facing foreclosure. The plan would be financed
through
profits from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Mortgage holders
would
have to agree to a substantial loss on existing loans in exchange for
avoiding costly foreclosures, borrowers would have to show they could
afford the new loans and the FHA would share in any profits from a
later sale or refinancing of the home. While lawmakers are
claiming their plan would not require taxpayers to foot any of the
costs of rescuing strapped homeowners, is that really the
case?
Check out the NYT
article, “The
Risks of Rescuing Borrowers.”
BUFFETT
SHOPS EUROPE
- Warren Buffett is said to be on the prowl for deals in Germany,
Switzerland, Spain and Italy. Target? Family-owned companies whose
founders are having a hard time finding a successor. We still
don’t know who will be the Oracle’s successor. During
an interview with a European newspaper, Mr. Buffett laid the blame for
the subprime crisis at the feet of banks...”The banks exposed
themselves too much, they took on too much risk...It’s their
fault. There’s no need to blame anyone else,” he said.
GLOBAL
OVERSEER
– SEC Chairman Christopher Cox is pushing for the formation of a
global entity to oversee international accounting standards. The move
could give American companies more incentive to shift from traditional
U.S. accounting rules to international standards.
FDIC
CONCERNED ABOUT BANKS
- The head of the FDIC believes the U.S. needs to have a plan ready to
shut down any investment bank on the brink of collapse. Since the
Federal Reserve's emergency bailout of Bear Stearns, monitoring of
investment banks has increased and it sure sounds like a plan needs to
be in order. Here’s a good Bloomberg.com
article on the subject. Speaking of banks, U.S. banks set
aside a
record $37 billion in the first quarter to boost reserves.
That’s up from $9.2 billion a year ago.
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UBS TELLS EXECUTIVES TO STAY OUT
OF THE U.S.
– In gangster terminology, UBS has told its senior executives to
“lay low.” On the heels of the recent indictment of one of
UBS's senior executives, the Swiss bank has told members of the
private-banking team that was responsible for wealthy Americans to
avoid traveling to the U.S. The bank and their executives are accused
of helping a rich client evade taxes and U.S. prosecutors are expected
to serve UBS with a subpoena demanding the names of wealthy American
clients who may have used the bank to evade income taxes.
SWISS
BANKING ACCOUNT SECRECY QUESTIONED
– The U.S. is now supporting European finance ministers in their
decades-old battle against the banking secrecy laws in Switzerland. The
Swiss are under increased pressure as U.S. investigators look into UBS
for allegedly helping American clients evade taxes.
DOLLAR’S
DECLINE
- About 76% of wealthy Americans want the U.S. to do more to stop the
dollar's decline, according to a Bloomberg/Los Angeles Times poll of
households with annual incomes of $100,000 or more. As
important
as the decline itself is the perception it creates of the dollar
becoming a less-respected currency.
MOODY
GLITCH
- A glitch in Moody's computer models resulted in the ratings firm
awarding incorrect triple-A ratings to billions of dollars’ worth
of debt products. Further, some senior Moody's staff knew of the flawed
calculations early last year but failed to take action.
SEC
TO RATE THE RATERS?
- SEC Chairman Christopher Cox has requested information on ratings
errors found by Moody's, Standard & Poor's and Fitch.
Many
see this as a precursor of new rules for nationally recognized
credit-rating agencies.
BIG
LAYOFFS
- Financial companies have dismissed or announced their plans to cut
more than 83,000 employees since the beginning of the credit crunch.
The Bear Stearns debacle alone is expected to result in more than 9,000
job losses. The cuts are less than what the industry experienced during
the “dot com” bust, but more cuts are expected.
MORE
WRITE-DOWNS
– Expect another $35 billion in write-downs from banks and
securities firms. “Write-down” is a euphemism for losses
that are posted to balance sheets rather than income statements. They
can be reversed when and if markets recover. The practice
holds
the potential to allow banks to hide the full extent of losses incurred.
FINRA
SUED
- The collapse in the auction-rate market has caused hundreds of
borrowers to face an unexpected rise in financial costs. Guess who is
getting some blame? FINRA is faced with hundreds of lawsuits by
investors who claim they were misled about the security of the
market.
HANK
GREENBERG’S NEW CAREER – According to the Wall Street Journal,
“Former AIG CEO Hank Greenberg has no desire to return to his old
job and is instead embroiled in lawsuits and counterlawsuits with the
company he built up over 38 years. But those suits may stem
from
'prosecutorial excess' by former New York Attorney General Eliot
Spitzer.” Mr. Greenberg may be facing additional legal
problems...the SEC has launched an investigation of Mr. Greenberg and
several of the deals he made while heading up AIG.
DARK
POOLS AND GAMING
– Just an FYI, dark pools are getting tough on "gaming."
“Gaming” is the use of trade information by another party
for financial gain. The potential problem intensifies as more liquidity
flows into the dark pools. So now you know.
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LIFE AND LIFE INSURANCE AWARENESS
– Life Insurance Awareness Month (LIAM) has succeeded in bringing
the industry together in support of a common objective: to remind
Americans of their need to include life insurance in their financial
plans. The nonprofit LIFE Foundation, which coordinates LIAM, was
recently awarded a “Big Apple Award” by the New York
chapter of the Public Relations Society of America in recognition of
the success of the 2007 LIAM campaign. LIFE has created a “LIAM
Turnkey Kit” to help companies, agents and industry associations
prepare for this year’s campaign. Available for free online, the
kit contains a wide range of resources, such as campaign logos, a
customizable newsletter article, template print advertisement and
various presentation and communications materials. To access these
resources, please visit the LIFE Idea Exchange at www.lifeexchange.org
and click on “Turnkey Kits.” The LIFE Foundation has also launched its
new website at www.lifehappens.org.
GHOST
BUSTERS – In Regulatory
Notice 08-27,
FINRA is warning member firms to take care when using ghostwritten
books and articles to market their services. When a
ghostwritten
book or article featuring a representative is purchased, it must be
clearly identified as an advertisement.
“SENIOR”
DESIGNATIONS
– In an attempt to protect older investors, a number of states
have already taken action or are preparing new rules or legislation
regarding the use of so-called “senior” designations.
Others, such as New York State, are issuing consumer
alerts to their citizens.
GOOGLE
HEALTH
– Google has unveiled a U.S. health information service that
stores a user’s basic medical history and gathers relevant
information relating to their health conditions. Check it out
at www.google.com/health.
REDUCING
HEALTH CARE COSTS
– America’s Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) has released a
proposal that the organization claims would save $145 billion in health
care expenditures by 2015 if fully implemented. Those last
three
words are the “catch.” For example, one facet of the
proposal would eliminate the current medical liability system, which
isn’t likely to happen anytime soon. You can read the proposal here.
401(k)
DEBIT CARDS
– FINRA is warning consumers to be careful in their use of 401(k)
debit cards being sold by some companies. The cards charge
interest and fees and, significantly, interest starts accruing when
transactions are posted to a plan participant’s account.
There is no interest grace period. In addition, if a 401(k)
debit
card loan isn’t paid back within five years, income taxes must be
paid on the loan balance. A copy of the FINRA consumer alert
is
available here.
THE
FEMALE FACTOR
– That’s the name of an interesting white paper from the
Women’s Institute for a Secure Retirement or WISER. The
subtitle of the paper says it all...Why Women Are at Greater Financial
Risk in Retirement and How Annuities Can Help. Download a
copy here.
STIMULUS
PAYMENTS AND IRAS
– Individuals who are eligible to receive an Economic Stimulus
payment and who elected to have a 2007 federal income tax refund
directly deposited into an IRA or other tax-advantaged account are now
finding that their Economic Stimulus payments are also deposited
directly into the same account. In Announcement
2008-44,
the IRS says that such individuals can withdraw an amount equal to or
less than their Economic Stimulus payment without adverse tax
consequences. Such withdrawals must be made before the due
date
for filing a 2008 federal income tax return, including extensions.
MUNI-BOND
TAX EXEMPTION
– The Supreme Court has ruled that states can continue to tax
interest earned on out-of-state municipal bonds, while not taxing
interest earned on in-state munis. “The decision prevents a
significant transformation in the $2.6 trillion bond market and offers
the market a bit of stability in a turbulent year.”
GENETIC
TESTING
– President Bush has signed the Genetic Information
Nondiscrimination Act, which bars employers and health insurers from
discriminating against individuals based on the results of genetic
tests. The insurance industry supported the bill.
THE
FUTURE OF FLYING
– It’s safe to say that we all have a stake in the future
of the U.S. airline industry, which is staggering under the burden of
soaring fuel costs. For example, it’s likely that U.S.
carriers will spend in the range of $60 billion on jet fuel this year,
about four times what they paid in 2000. If you’re
interested in what the U.S. airline industry might look like in the
future, check out “You
Think Flying Is Bad Now...”
OPERATION
TELE-PHONEY
– See, the government does have a sense of humor! Operation
Tele-PHONEY was a large telemarketing fraud sweep conducted by the
Federal Trade Commission. So far, more than 180 fraud cases
involving advance-fee loan schemes, credit card scams, and other
fraudulent activity have been filed. More information is
available at www.ftc.gov.
PERILS
OF E-MAIL
– Countrywide Financial CEO Angelo Mozilo is far from alone in
sending e-mail to an unintended recipient. A desperate
homeowner
sent an e-mail to Mr. Mozilo and other Countrywide executives, asking
for help in saving his home from foreclosure. In a response
intended for the other executives only, Mr. Mozilo called the request
“unbelievable” and “disgusting.” The only
problem is that Mr. Mozilo hit “reply all,” sending his
response to the homeowner as well. Mr. Mozilo’s error,
however, saved the day...after his response made its way onto numerous
blogs, Countrywide agreed to address the homeowner’s loan problem
and he will be able to keep his house.
“DOUBLE
CROPPING”
– That is the term for buying your own debt at a discount. "The
flavor of the day is buying your own debt at below face value," said
David Rubenstein, of The Carlyle Group. "I'm buying bank debt in my
deal with leverage from the bank that made me that deal." Does this
make sense to anyone but those involved in the deals?
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