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September 1, 2008
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I.O.U.S.A.
- Billionaires Warren Buffett and Pete Peterson were at the premiere of
the movie "I.O.U.S.A." to add their views to the film's message: An
economic disaster will befall the nation if the federal government's
$53 trillion in debts continue to grow. Buffett says that he doesn't
think the country's financial picture is quite as dire as the
filmmakers portray and he is confident the country will be able to
address its debts and remain prosperous, but he doesn't want to see the
share of the U.S. gross domestic product devoted to debt continue to
grow. Peterson said, “What concerns me more than anything is our
savings rate. The meager U.S. rate of savings today means that roughly
70% of the nation's debts are being bought by foreign investors, and
that could create geopolitical and economic problems for the country.
The problem is getting the public understanding and the political will
to do something about it.” The "I.O.U.S.A." filmmakers
followed former U.S. Comptroller David Walker as he toured the country,
speaking to college groups, newspaper editorial boards and community
groups about the nation's financial problems. See more on the
I.O.U.S.A. movie: www.iousathemovie.com.
MORE ON DEBT
– My experience with families with debt problems is that it
usually is not a problem of income but rather a problem of outflow.
Essentially, spending more than you are making. In my humble opinion,
our government has plenty of income (taxes, fees, licenses, etc.,
etc.), but is spending and wasting too much money. Unfortunately, we
are in a conundrum...increasing taxes is likely to hurt the economy
thereby reducing tax receipts and cutting government contracts and
spending is likely to do the same.
P&C PROFITS DOWN
- Fitch reports mixed results for property and casualty insurers for
the first six months of 2008. Profitability declined due to poor
investment and underwriting results, as well as competitive factors.
Gustav may not help either.
STOCK JUMP
– Recent stock gains are said to be due to a better than expected
gross domestic product report. A decline in jobless claims and a
decline in oil prices also appeared to add force to the rally in
stocks. The dollar and gold also rose.
NEW OPPORTUNITIES? – The International Herald Tribune
reports that banks and big money funds are increasingly seeing
investment opportunities in financing U.S. infrastructure
projects. Public-private financing of roads, bridges, airports,
etc. is nothing new in other parts of the world. In the U.S.,
however, local and state governments have traditionally funded these
projects through a combination of taxes and user fees. With
governments struggling with mounting deficits, however, the resistance
to private financing may be easing.
MAE AND MAC
– The ultimate resolution of any government rescue of Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac remains to be seen. For an assessment, check out
this BusinessWeek article: “Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac: A Damage Report.”
EXECUTIVE LIFE, THE NEVER-ENDING STORY
- A federal appeals court in San Francisco has tossed out a $241
million award won by the state of California against the French
investment company, Artemis, in a lawsuit stemming from the 1991
takeover of the failed Executive Life. The judge threw out the case on
the grounds that a jury had awarded punitive damages against Artemis
but not compensatory damages and, according to the judge, a jury may
not award punitive damages without also imposing compensatory damages.
And the attorneys cheered.
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HEALTH CARE ALLIANCE
- The last time Washington tried to fix health care, drug companies,
insurers, doctors, and hospitals all scrambled to protect their turf.
But, at least for now, these groups seem to be joining in
a unified call to fix the system. Plus, Harry and Louise,
the couple whose ads helped scuttle the Clinton healthcare proposal,
are back. They’re older and this time around they’re
encouraging the federal government “to put health care at the top
of the domestic agenda.”
MASS HEALTH COST “UNSUSTAINABLE”
- Two years after the state became the first in the nation with
near-universal healthcare, Moody reports that the costs of
Massachusetts' pioneering health-care plan are rising at an
unsustainable rate. This is not good news for Democrats and Republicans
alike that once touted the plan as a possible national model for the
more than 47 million uninsured Americans. “Commonwealth
Care” is projected to cost $869 million in the current fiscal
year...up 41% from last year.
NEXT FED STEP UP
– The minutes of the Fed’s last meeting show that the
policymakers expect to eventually raise their benchmark interest rate
in an effort to slow inflation, but they have not agreed to a
timetable.
SARBANES-OXLEY = CONFUSION
- The goal of the 2002 Sarbanes-Oxley Act was to make corporate
accounting more transparent, but a new Cato Institute study finds the
law's requirements have had the opposite effect. Sarbanes-Oxley sought
to achieve its aims by having the Financial Accounting Standards Board
(FASB) mandate that corporations use Generally Accepted Accounting
Principles (GAAP) in reporting their balance sheets to
shareholders. Cato spokesman and former Silicon Valley CEO says,
"The first step in the wrong direction came when FASB mandated that
companies list 'intangibles' such as 'goodwill' as corporate assets,
artificially inflating balance sheets. After that, FASB meddled with
the revenue recognition rules, in some cases not allowing companies to
report revenue from cash payments received from a customer for a
delivered product. Finally, and worst by far, FASB mandated punitive
and nonsensical rules for so-called expensing of stock options. FASB is
a group of seven theoretical accountants based in Norwalk, Connecticut.
Its Web site shows that no FASB member ever started or ran a successful
business and that only one member has even held a senior position in a
prominent public company other than an accounting firm.... It deeply
angers me that government lawyers and naive theoretical accountants
have been allowed to impair the economic miracle that democratized the
silicon chip, the personal computer, and the Internet."
3.5 MILLION JOBS IN TWO YEARS
– Here is some optimism for a change. Economists at the
University of Michigan predict that 900,000 jobs will be added next
year and that 2.6 million more will be created in 2010. The forecast is
based on a belief that the economy will finally begin to rebound in the
second half of 2009.
GOVERNMENT HIRING UP NOW
– Virtually all state and local governments are in a financial
and budget crisis, but 338,000 employees have been added to the public
payrolls in the last year...that compares to 195,000 in the prior 12
months. The private-sector shed 418,000 jobs in the past year amid
fears that the economy was headed for a recession.
LABOR UNIONS REVIVAL
– After years of decline, Big Labor is setting itself up for a
return to the big time in the private sector. The Employee Free Choice
Act (EFCA), a bill being pushed by labor groups, would allow workers to
skip elections and unionize if a simple majority sign authorization
cards. This will have the effect of removing the “secret
ballot” from the current process. With just 7.5% of private
sector workers belonging to unions, the legislation has become the
central issue in the tussle between labor and business. Unions are
expected to spend $300 million in political contributions to further
their cause. Looks like the resurgence of what killed the U.S.
automobile industry and forced many employers to look overseas for
cheaper labor.
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2006 TAX FACTS
- 'Soak the rich' is a popular concept among some groups. Raise taxes
on the wealthiest among us, and we'll raise revenue and be rolling in
surplus cash, right? But setting anecdotes and politics aside, a quick
look at the facts will tell you the notion that the U.S. can tax its
way to prosperity is all wrong. See details at www.accountingweb.com and consider who paid what in 2006.
- The top 1% of taxpayers (income of at least $388,806) earn 22% of all income but pay 40% of the total tax.
- The top 5% of taxpayers (income of at least $153,542) earn 37% of all income but pay 60 percent of all tax.
- The top 10% of taxpayers (incomes of at least $108,904) earn 47 % of all income, but pay 71% of the total tax.
- The top 50% of taxpayers (incomes of at least $31,987) earn 87% of all income, but pay 97.1% of the total tax.
- The lower 50% of earners (incomes below $31,987) earn less than 13% of all income but pay only 2.9% of the total tax.
- Because
of refundable credits like the Earned Income Credit, many pay nothing
yet get refunds. Taxpayers who earned less than $32,001 and had at
least one child or with no children and earned less than $12,120 were
eligible for and received $43.7 billion in EIC.
LTC EDUCATION
– America’s Health Insurance Plans has launched a new
national education campaign to provide consumers with information about
long-term care needs. At the center of the campaign is a new
website, My Life My Family.
LTC COST INCREASES TO CONTINUE - According to Pru's 2008 Long Term Care Cost of Care
survey, there has been an increase in the average cost of long term
care ranging from 5% to 13%, depending on the type of service provided.
Also, costs for long-term care services are expected to continue
rising. The average daily cost for an assisted-living facility is now
more than $100 per day and the average daily cost of a private room in
a nursing home is now $217 per day. Check out how to beat this rising
cost at www.jibjab.com.
NAILBA SAYS FIAs NOT SECURITIES
– The proposed SEC Rule 151A states that annuitants bear the
majority of the investment risk if they are likely to receive payments
that exceed the guaranteed payment in a fixed indexed annuity. The
“risk” is that the gain in the annuity contract will be
higher than the guaranteed floor, but subject to a cap and therefore
lower than a potential higher return. NAILBA asserted that this risk
isn’t the same as what investors find in mutual funds and other
securities, so these annuities shouldn’t be regulated as
securities.
NAIFA TOO – NAIFA is also joining the fight against the SEC proposal to classify indexed annuities as securities. Click here to read NAIFA’s member alert.
401(k) ADVICE
- The Department of Labor published two new rules that will allow
401(k) participants to receive investment advice through the use of a
computer model that is certified as unbiased and through an adviser
compensated on a "level-fee" basis. Additionally, DOL is considering
allowing advisers to provide individualized advice to a worker after
giving advice generated by use of a computer model. If you are a
masochist, you can read the entire rules by clicking here.
RETIREMENT INCOME STREAMS
– A Principal white paper reports that Baby Boomers are going to
look for one-stop-shopping solutions that combine mutual funds,
annuities and systematic draw-down schedules. The paper explored
four best ways to create a retirement income stream: 1) mutual funds
with income payments, 2) variable annuities with guaranteed minimum
withdrawal benefit riders, 3) income annuities and 4) a combination of
mutual funds and income annuities and found the fourth option most
appealing.
INCOME STREAM FOR LIFE
- “Imagine a retirement-savings well that never runs dry, no
matter how long you live. If that's the dream of future retirees, why
are annuities, which make that very promise, such a minuscule part of
our collective nest egg?” Great article on the value of annuities
from Kiplinger at www.kiplinger.com. To see how your products stack up with others annuities and their prices, check out www.immediateannuities.com.
UNINSURED GIVE AND GET
– According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, the uninsured will
spend $30 billion for health care in 2008 and receive $56 billion in
uncompensated care. About 75% of their uncompensated care will come
from government sources. Kaiser estimates that if all the uninsured
were covered by insurance, total costs would increase by $123 billion.
LIFE INSURANCE GENDER GAP
– Metlife reports that working women are less likely than men to
have adequate life insurance coverage. Female employees who have life
insurance own only 2 times their household income in coverage, compared
to 3 times income for male employees.
WHO DO WOMEN TRUST?
– A new State Farm study examined what it takes to earn
women’s trust, offering an in-depth look at women’s
attitudes toward financial security issues and what women want from
their professional advisors. Click here for more information on “The Musts of Trust” study.
NO POWER OF ATTORNEY?
- Remind yourself and your clients that if there is no valid financial
or health care power of attorney and finances must be handled and
health care decisions made for a disabled person, a guardianship may be
required. Further, getting appointed as a guardian is a legal
proceeding that requires time and money.
MEDICAL COVERAGE CHALLENGE
– According to a survey by Administaff, one-third of small and
medium-sized businesses say the cost of medical coverage is their
greatest business-related challenge. 56% said a slow economy was their
greatest business-related challenge and 42% said hiring the right new
employees was their biggest challenge.
EXPECT CAPITAL GAINS TO RISE
– A survey of financial advisors reveals their belief that
capital-gains tax rates will increase regardless of who wins the
presidential election. Consequently, many are suggesting to their
clients that they take their gains this year.
CHECK THOSE BENEFICIARIES
– If your clients are not sure of the last time they reviewed
their beneficiaries for wills, trusts, insurance, retirement funds,
etc., it probably means they should do so now.
IPOD TRUMPS FINANCES
- The Employee Benefits Research Institute asked Gen X and Y age groups
how knowledgeable they are about a list of items. 40% said they were
very knowledgeable about how to use an iPod, but just 32% said they
were very knowledgeable about buying a car, how to stick to a budget,
and eliminating or avoiding debt.
IDENTITY THEFT SERVICES – Are they worth the cost? Here’s an article from CNNMoney.com that explores that subject.
GAS DOWN 10%
- Since $4.11 in mid-July, the average cost for a gallon of gasoline
has dropped 10% to $3.66. This reflects a 20% decline in the
price of crude oil. Unfortunately, Gustav could have a negative effect
by reducing supply from the Gulf of Mexico.
CAR BUYERS MARKET
- The fallout from the credit crisis and the downturn in the U.S.
automobile market might be a boom for automobile buyers. Expect
companies to offer lease holders an option to buy their cars at
substantial discounts. Further, significant rebates are being offered
for SUVs as well as big trucks and cars. If you ever longed for a
Hummer, now might be the time!
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