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October 1, 2009
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PUBLIC OPTION NIXED, AGENTS WILL PARTICIPATE
- The Senate Finance Committee has rejected the amendment creating a
government-run health insurance system, and has accepted an amendment
that could let agents participate in a proposed health "exchange"
system. Both votes were bipartisan. "We are pleased by the rejection of
both...amendments containing public plan options," says Tom Currey,
president of NAIFA, "But, we will continue our educational efforts.
There are currently three other reform proposals with government-run
options, and lawmakers need to understand the negative consequences. A
strong private health insurance system is best equipped to provide
options for families and businesses." "The government-run plan is a
roadblock to reform," AHIP spokesman Robert Zirkelbach says. "A new
government-run plan would dismantle employer coverage, bankrupt
hospitals, and add to the federal deficit. Reform goals can be
accomplished by enacting an overhaul of the market rules and new
consumer protections so that nobody falls through the cracks of our
health care system."
WHY THE PUBLIC OPTION FAILED
– Put simply, the public wasn't dumb enough to believe it would
save money. As the Wall Street Journal puts it, "Someday this country
will have a health-care debate that's not abject in its idiocy. It will
involve a term used by Congressional Budget Office chief Doug
Elmendorf, who has become notorious for harping on the word
"incentives." The same word was used the other day by Warren Buffett,
about what's missing from the health-care plan on Capitol Hill. We
actually prefer the formulation of Duke University's Clark Havighurst,
who speaks of restoring the "price tags" to health care. Now that's a
concept that the public could actually make sense of."
WHY WAS THE PUBLIC OPTION ON THE TABLE?
– Again from the WSJ, "President Barack Obama made a "public
option" his centerpiece not because it's the answer to what's broken in
the U.S. system, but because it's a halfway house to a single-payer
setup that liberal Democrats have always wanted. Team Obama also knew
the public is concerned about rising costs, so they jammed together a
hooey-filled argument that the public option was somehow the solution
to rising costs."
WISH LIST
- We've heard a lot about Democratic proposals for reforming health
care, but what about the Republicans? There are been at least
three comprehensive GOP health care reform bills introduced in
Congress. Kaiser Health News reviews them in How Republicans Would Overhaul the Health System.
THE GOOD NEWS
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a milestone Tuesday, closing
at 9829.98, its highest close since October 6, 2008, and 50% above its
12-year low of 6547.05 of last March. Further, The Conference
Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) rose for the fifth straight month in
August, another sign that a recovery is near for the U.S. economy. The
leading index increased 0.6% after a 0.9% gain in July.
NAIFA/AHIA CHANGE
- The National Association of Insurance and Financial Advisors (NAIFA)
has decided to change the group's relationship with its health
insurance arm and has approved the full integration of the Association
of Health Insurance Advisors (AHIA). Reason: Most NAIFA members have
involvement with health and employee benefits products, and integration
should help NAIFA increase the power of its voice in health-related
matters.
AIG -
With AIG's financial situation starting to stabilize, the government
may be looking at revising its bailout plan in such a way to make it
easier for the company to repay its government obligations. Word
of the possible revision caused AIG's stock to shoot up by more than
16% early in the week, to $46.44.
CATASTROPHE ADVERTED
- Most financial industry insiders, scholars and other market observers
said given the hindsight available, central banks and governments
deserve most of the credit for averting disaster. Few agree, however,
on which of the extraordinary measures taken during the past year made
the biggest difference. "It was a period of tremendous
experimentation," said Frederic Mishkin, an economist at Columbia
University and a former member of the Federal Reserve Board. "When
you're faced with a crisis of this magnitude, if you take the view that
every measure that we take has to be exactly right, you don't do
anything."
BUT STILL NOT RESOLVED
- Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz said the nation has not
yet resolved issues in the banking system that led to the credit crunch
and collapse of Lehman Brothers. "In the U.S. and many other countries,
the 'too big to fail' banks have become even bigger," Stiglitz said.
"The problems are worse than they were in 2007 before the crisis."
FDIC CALLS FOR UPFRONT MONEY
- The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. could bring in as much as $45
billion by having banks prepay their fees for 2010, 2011 and 2012. The
FDIC fund, which had more than $50 billion before the crisis began, has
been so depleted by the nearly 100 bank failures this year that it
could be in the red by the end of this week. At this point, it
appears that banks will look more favorably on this proposal than on
special assessments levied by the FDIC to replenish the fund.
FED BUY BACK CONTINUES
- The U.S. Federal Reserve Board extended its program to buy
mortgage-backed securities through March 2010. So far the Fed has
purchased nearly $850 billion, or about 80% of securities issued this
year by companies including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. While
announcing the program's extension, the Fed said it would "gradually
slow the pace of these purchases in order to promote a smooth
transition in markets."
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JOBLESS CLAIMS FALL
- The U.S. Department of Labor reported 530,000 new unemployment claims
in the week ended September 19, fewer than expected and better than the
prior week's 551,000. Continuing jobless claims were slightly above
6,100,000, in line with projections.
EXISTING HOME SALES DECLINE
- The National Association of Realtors said existing home sales fell to
5,100,000 units in August, down from over 5,200,000 in July. While the
drop ends a string of four consecutive monthly increases in the housing
market, sales were still up 3.4% from one year ago.
INFLATION IS STILL A FACTOR
- The Federal Reserve is going to keep interest rates near zero for the
foreseeable future. However, while there may be an inflation headache
down the road for the Fed -- and consumers, so far, so good.
According to the most recent figures from the Labor Department, overall
consumer prices have decreased during the past 12 months. Core consumer
prices, which exclude the costs of food and energy items, are up just
1.4% over the past year. However, gold has rallied above $1,000 an
ounce and many experts think that this is partly due to fears that the
Fed's money-printing campaign over the past year will cause the dollar
to weaken even further than it already has. "The Fed has printed a lot
of money and unless Milton Friedman was wrong, when you print money
inflation is going to be a problem."
SLOW LEARNERS AND LOW INCOME LOANS
- The Treasury is poised to announce a program that will provide as
much as $15 billion in liquidity and buy billions worth of mortgage
bonds, sources said. The effort will help state housing agencies
provide home loans to low-income borrowers. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
will administer the program and purchase the bonds.
SIFMA WEIGHS IN ON G20
– The Group of 20 nations plan to cooperate on an overhaul of
financial regulations to prevent arbitrage in the global system,
require banks to hold more capital, install compensation policies
linked to longer-term performance and create a process for winding down
cross-border financial institutions. SIFMA CEO Timothy Ryan called the
proposals "unprecedented." "While individually each initiative may have
merit - and the industry supports many reforms - taken together, these
reforms could negatively impact investors, capital flows, and economic
growth and job creation during a period of global economic
vulnerability."
BIG GOVERNMENT, BIG BUCKS
- As researchers for The Free Enterprise Nation began compiling
information about the pay and benefits disparity that exists between
government/public education and those who work in the private sector,
we'd hear an occasional "OH, MY GOSH!" or "OH, MY!" as they found
another reference to shocking pay and benefits practices in the public
sector. It might have been the first time they saw a State of
California pensioner retiring at $500,000 a year...or perhaps the
Illinois driver's training teacher earning $170,000 a year and retiring
at $130,000 a year...or perhaps the New York City workers who amass
more than $100,000 in overtime in their last year before retirement,
triggering a pension benefit in excess of their salary. Brace yourself
before you check this out at www.thefreeenterprisenation.org.
EXECUTIVE PAY
- In case you're concerned about them, The Corporate Library reports
that compensation for top executives at many of the largest companies
was essentially unchanged last year, despite generally poor stock
performance. More information is available at www.thecorporatelibrary.com.
DEATH OF THE DOLLAR? -
World Bank President Robert Zoellick said the United States should not
take the dollar's status as the world's key reserve currency for
granted because other options are emerging. "The United States would be
mistaken to take for granted the dollar's place as the world's
predominant reserve currency," he said. "Looking forward, there will
increasingly be other options."
YOUNG UNEMPLOYMENT AT 52.2%
- According to the Labor Dept, the unemployment rate for young
Americans has exploded to 52.2%...a post-World War II high. Many young
Americans are staring at the likelihood that their lifetime earning
potential will be diminished and, combined with the predicted slow
economic recovery, their transition into productive members of society
could be put on hold for an extended period of time. And worse,
without a clear economic recovery plan aimed at creating entry-level
jobs, the odds of many of these young adults (16 to 24, excluding
students) getting a job and moving out of their parents' houses are
long. Young workers have been among the hardest hit during the current
recession, in which a total of 9,500,000 jobs have been lost.
SOME BILLIONS NOT REAL BILLIONS
- In an era when the budget deficit (nearing $1.58 trillion) and
debt ($11.8 trillion on the low side) are at all-time highs, when it
looks as if the expanding federal apparatus will soon swallow the
entire nation, the administration found $2.7 billion in spending cuts.
That is great but is it a real cut? No, it's just a small restraint on
raises. Instead of funding $22.6 billion for 2.4% cost-of-living
allowances for 2010, the taxpayers will be responsible for providing
$19.9 billion to pay for a 2% COLA. Yet civilian federal workers, who
are almost impossible to fire for poor performance, are still getting
raises on top of deals that are far better than those of their
counterparts in the private sector.
TREASURY TO KEEP TARP $
- The Treasury might opt to extend the Troubled Asset Relief Program,
which is set to expire Dec. 31, but even if the program is not
extended, Treasury officials are trying to find a way to keep some of
the remaining $200 billion in reserve. The efforts could be setting up
a battle over the funds because lawmakers are increasingly concerned
about the nation's growing debt.
BANKER PAY NOT LINKED TO CRISIS
- G20 leaders are pondering restrictions on bankers' pay but there is,
in fact, little evidence to cite compensation as one of the causes of
the financial crisis, writes Jeffrey Friedman of the University of
Texas at Austin. Bank CEOs actually owned about 10 times as much of
their bank's stock as they were typically paid per year, according to a
study by professors at Ohio State University. Additionally, a study by
compensation consultant Watson Wyatt Worldwide shows that banks that
richly rewarded performance were not more likely to go bankrupt than
others. Whatever, it just doesn't smell right.
TARP SUCCESS MIXED
- Neil Barofsky, special inspector general of the Troubled Asset Relief
Program, told the Senate banking committee that the effort played a
"significant role" in stabilizing the financial system. "There are
without question significant signs of improvement in the stability of
the system," Barofsky said. He also cited efforts by the Federal
Reserve, the Treasury and other agencies as contributing to the market
turnaround. However, he called the overall success of TARP "mixed."
FED STILL A SECRET AND SACRED COW
- Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner proposed a "comprehensive review"
of the Federal Reserve's "ability to accomplish its existing and
proposed functions." After initially agreeing to the review, some Fed
officials deemed the review as a possible threat to the central bank's
independence, the sources said. "It is not obvious at all why that is a
Treasury responsibility or even appropriate why the Treasury would
undertake that kind of study. The Fed was created by Congress, and it
is not part of the executive branch." Flash: Congress has no clue what
the Fed is doing either. However, the Fed has been under increasing
scrutiny for its role in the financial crisis, and a bill from Rep. Ron
Paul, R-Texas, which would have the Government Accountability Office
audit the Fed has gained broad support.
BOA MESS
- In case you haven't heard, Bank of America's acquisition of Merrill
Lynch is now under investigation by the Justice Department and
FBI. Since a judge threw out the proposed settlement over BOA's
failure to disclose its authorization to Merrill Lynch to pay up to
$5.8 billion in bonuses, the SEC now says it will take BOA to court,
which may open the possibility that bank executives could also face
charges. In throwing out the settlement, the judge quite rightly
said that the proposed settlement unfairly penalized shareholders (who
were the ones the Merrill bonuses weren't disclosed to prior to voting
on the merger). Wait though...there's more to this mess.
The Ohio attorney general has filed a class-action lawsuit against Bank
of America and its executives, alleging that the bank improperly
concealed billions of dollars in losses and billions in Merrill bonuses
paid before the shareholder vote on the proposed merger.
EXPECT CAP AND TRADE TO RETURN TO HEADLINES
- Energy and environmental policy returns to the spotlight as Sens.
Barbara Boxer and John Kerry introduce legislation to curb climate
change. Also, watch for a name change to something like the "Pollution
Reduction Bill." Apparently, "focus groups" don't understand what is
meant by "Cap and Trade." The real problem may be that the public is
beginning to understand what such a bill will do to them personally and
the economy in generally. President Obama has said "electricity
rates would necessarily skyrocket," but estimates range from only $175
per household to over $2,000. The major problem may be the damage to
the economy and trade policy. As one opponent points out, "The problem
we've got in this country is that if you pay $40 an hour and try to
compete against $5 labor, and you've got these EPA rules and these
regulations and the other countries don't, that we keep bleeding our
prosperity. I think we've now reached a point that we've disproven this
service economy."
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HEALTH CARE COSTS
- Hewitt Associates estimates that health care cost rate increases for
large companies will average about 6% in 2010. Employee
out-of-pocket costs are expected to go up 10%. Based on these
projections, total health care premiums will have more than doubled
from $4,159 in 2001 to $9,120 in 2010 and employee's share of those
costs will have more than tripled, from $1,262 in 2001 to $4,023 in
2010. Employers have been dealing with rate increases in a
variety of ways: increasing employee cost sharing, assessing the
eligibility of covered dependents, requiring employees to pay more for
dependent coverage and encouraging enrollment in high-deductible health
plans. The Business Roundtable
estimates that per-employee costs will jump to $28,530 by 2019 from
$10,743 currently if nothing is done to rein in the cost of health
care.
PERMANENT LIFE INSURANCE
- According to a survey sponsored by New York Life, "American families
are reporting an increased desire for financial protection in these
times of economic crisis, but do not have the proper financial strategy
in place to fund their families' future." The time seems ripe to
explain to clients the benefits of life insurance, particularly
permanent life insurance. Here's a booklet from The Hartford that
focuses on the living benefits of permanent life insurance: Change Your Perspective on Life.
Another resource is available from Penn Mutual, which underscores the
need to better communicate all the advantages of life insurance,
especially to women: www.worthforwomen.com. Finally, here's a MetLife survey demonstrating the impact of a spouse's death on a family's financial security.
EARLY RETIREMENTS STRAIN SOCIAL SECURITY
- Big job losses and a spike in early retirement claims from laid-off
seniors will force Social Security to pay out more in benefits than it
collects in taxes the next two years, the first time that's happened
since the 1980s. Applications for retirement benefits are 23% higher
than last year, while disability claims have risen by about 20%. Social
Security officials had expected applications to increase from the
growing number of baby boomers reaching retirement, but they didn't
expect the increase to be so large. If you wish to "checkout early,"
check out the Social Security retirement planner at www.ssa.gov.
PUBLIC COMMUNICATIONS
- FINRA is requesting comments on its proposed changes to the rules
that govern communications with the public. The proposed changes
are available in Regulatory Notice 09-55.
BANKS LOWER OVERDRAFT FEES BUT BEWARE
- In the wake of the uproar over bank fees charged to debit card
holders, banking giants Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and Wells
Fargo have announced drastic changes to their overdraft policies.
However, banks continue to "nickel and dime" customers in other ways
that can easily cost $100 or more per year. Watch out for these hidden
fees:
- Balance Transfer Fees: Up to 3% and 5% hidden in the fine print.
- Cash Advances: Ranges between 3% and 5%.
- Foreign Currency Surcharges: Expect a 3% fee for any purchases made in foreign currencies.
- Balance Requirements: Keep a minimum balance or expect a charge of $8 or more.
- ATM
Fees: Banks charge $3 to withdraw money from their ATMs. But at least
you have to agree to pay the fee at the terminal. Some customers don't
realize their own bank often levies a $2 fee every time they use a
competitor's ATM.
LTC IQ
- According to a MetLife Mature Market Institute study, American's
long-term care IQ is pretty bad. For example, lots of folks
continue to believe that Medicare, health insurance and disability
insurance pay long-term care expenses. Click here for more information on the study.
TOP FINANCIAL CONCERNS
- The CFP Board released results of a survey indicating that preparing
for retirement and managing income in retirement are among the top
financial concerns voiced by American consumers. Other top
concerns were generating current income, managing or reducing debt and
providing health insurance coverage. Despite their concerns,
however, only about one third of the Americans surveyed have a written
financial plan.
ENOUGH SAVINGS, AMERICANS WANT "STUFF"
- According to a new survey by American Express, the newfound frugality
in the U.S. may already be over. Amid the first signs of an economic
rebound, Americans are ready to do what they do best: shop. People are
starting to spend again, albeit slowly, after the savings rate rose to
a 15-year high during the longest economic contraction since the 1930s.
American Express surveyed the general U.S. population, as well as two
sub-groups: the "affluent" and "young professionals." Young
professionals were more optimistic about the economy and more likely to
increase spending during the next 30 days...24% versus 14% of the
affluent pool and 10% of the general population. Well, my wife
considers shopping as "retail therapy."
GAG ORDER?
- The Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) got wind of a
mailing from Humana to its Medicare Advantage customers, warning them
that health care reform legislation could cause them to lose Medicare
Advantage access, benefits and services and ordered Humana (and all
other Medicare Advantage providers) to stop all such mailings because,
among other concerns, "the information is misleading and confusing to
beneficiaries." America's Health Insurance Plans are calling the
CMS order a "gag order," Congressional Republicans are agreeing with
AHIP, Democrats are not and the National Association of Insurance
Commissioners is backing CMS.
FESS UP OR FACE THE MUSIC
- The IRS has extended its tax amnesty program for U.S. taxpayers with
unreported offshore income to October 15 and the IRS says that's
it. Come forward by October 15 or face harsher civil penalties
and possible criminal prosecution. Tax attorneys who specialize
in offshore cases are reported to be busy.
FORM 1098 AND THE IRS
- The Wall Street Journal reports that the IRS is using Form 1098 as a
window into taxpayers' income. Form 1098 is the form on which a
lender reports the amount of interest you pay each year as part of your
mortgage payment. The borrower receives a copy and so does the
IRS. The original intention of the form was to make sure
taxpayers don't deduct more mortgage interest than they paid. The
IRS, however, is now investigating 1098s that don't match up to a tax
return and sending notices to non-filers, telling them to either file
or explain why they don't need to file. Apparently the program
has already resulted in nearly 70,000 new tax returns and $276,000,000
in tax assessments.
INVESTOR GREED RETURNS
- Financial advisers are becoming concerned that a growing number of
formerly wary clients are becoming dangerously aggressive and worry
about clients making more ill-timed bets. Factors in this newfound
greed may come from investors who missed the run-up in the market and
are wracked with regret and feeling that there is almost no return on
cash holdings.
AARP TALKS UP ANNUITIES AND "VAPORCARE"
– A recent AARP report recommends retirees should consider
annuitizing enough of their savings to cover such recurring expenses as
rent or mortgage payments, utilities, food and medicine. This is good,
but AARP is also apparently supporting a government health care program
that is, at this point, "vaporcare" since no one seems to know or at
least can explain what it will do to reduce the rising cost of medical
care.
©
Copyright 2009 Financial Services Online, Inc.
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