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November 1, 2007
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FED RATE CUT
– As anticipated, the Federal Reserve cut its benchmark
interest
rate by a quarter point to 4.5%, but also signaled reluctance to reduce
borrowing costs further. “Today's action, combined with the
policy action taken in September, should help forestall some of the
adverse effects on the broader economy that might otherwise arise from
the disruptions in financial markets,” the Federal Open
Market
Committee said in a statement after meeting today in Washington.
“After this action, the upside risks to inflation roughly
balance
the downside risks to growth.”
COUNTRYWIDE
TO MODIFY MORTGAGES
– Countrywide, the nation’s largest mortgage
lender, will
refinance or modify up to $16 billion in adjustable-rate mortgages to
help about 82,000 borrowers who face higher payments to stay in their
homes. Countrywide plans to offer new mortgages to 52,000 subprime
borrowers, modify 20,000 prime and subprime borrowers who cannot
refinance, and provide mortgages for 10,000 subprime borrowers who are
already delinquent.
ARE WE
ENABLING RISK TAKERS?
– Are mortgage companies doing more harm than good by
rewarding
investors and homeowners who took on excessive risk? While such
concessions are largely a win-win situation for the parties involved,
since homeowners keep their homes and the lenders reduce losses, the
practice may exacerbate a credit crisis. Some experts believe the loan
adjustments are little more than a bailout of bond buyers who were paid
to take greater risks. The practice of lowering interest rates or
forgiving a portion of the principal could even encourage more of the
bad lending that helped create the U.S. housing bubble and subsequent
credit crunch in the first place. Speaking of bailouts, click
here
for some background on the “superfund” created to
buy the
assets of troubled investment vehicles and some reactions to
it.
MORE
PRESSURE ON RATING AGENCIES
– Connecticut’s Attorney General is subpoenaing
Standard
& Poor and Fitch to see if they “may be exploiting
their
dominant positions to unfairly raise prices or exclude
competitors.” All this in the wake of the sub-prime
market
collapse and the failure of the rating agencies to predict it.
FREEDOM
OF SPEECH AND RATING AGENCIES
– Strange bedfellows, but according to many attorneys,
credit-rating agencies, like S&P, Moody’s and Fitch,
cannot
be held accountable for the subprime-mortgage mess and investors cannot
sue them for trusting their opinions. Free speech protects the agencies
from such lawsuits.
SLUMP
NOT OVER BUT ECONOMY STRONG
– According to Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson, the housing
slump is not over but the overall U.S. economy is strong enough to
“grow through” the slump.
CREDIT
CRUNCH COST
– Not sure how they got these numbers, but experts say the
credit
crunch will cost Wall Street at least $27 billion. A major hunk will be
the $8.4 billion write-downs at Merrill Lynch, which cost CEO Stan
O’Neal his job.
TRIA
BILL – National
Underwriter
reports that Rep. Barney Frank, D-Mass., who is chairman of the House
Financial Services Committee, may propose extending the current
Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA) until April 30, 2008 in hopes of
adding group life insurance to a longer extension of the
legislation.
REGULATORY
REFORM
– Both NAIFA and NAILBA had an opportunity to testify before
Congressional hearings weighing an optional federal charter that would
enable insurers and agents to choose between state regulation and
regulation by a new federal agency. While both organizations
support the optional federal charter approach, NAIFA was more guarded
in its endorsement.
MORE ON
REGULATION
- The Treasury Department is asking for comments from the public about
U.S. regulation of financial institutions. For information on
how
to give them your “two cents worth,” click here.
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DECISION
COULD IMPERIL MUNI BONDS
– A U.S. Supreme Court fight over state tax powers could have
great ramifications for the municipal-bond industry. At issue is
whether Kentucky violates the Constitution by taxing income earned on
out-of-state bonds while exempting interest on ones issued by its own
cities and school districts. Barring such preferential
treatment
would force 42 states to either tax their own bonds or give identical
breaks to out-of-state bonds. As a result, investors may be owed
billions of dollars, and bond funds holding $155 billion rendered
obsolete.
ARIBTATION
VERSUS LITIGATION
- SIFMA believes that banning mandatory arbitration for broker disputes
would add unnecessary costs when the current system is already fast and
cheap for investors. Their study found that investor cases handled with
arbitration in 2006 were resolved about 40% faster than cases filed in
court. “For over 30 years, securities arbitration has
provided
investors with a fair and unbiased forum where disputes are resolved
more quickly and economically than in courts.” Click here
for the full press release and white paper from SIFMA
BOA
TO CUT 3,000
- Poor performance from Bank of America's investment-banking division
is prompting the bank to slash about 3,000 positions and begin a
strategic review of the unit. Several of the executives responsible for
the “poor performance” will be forced to retire at
serious
6 digit incomes...plus health insurance, of course.
MORE
DOOM AND GLOOM
– According to a Bloomberg study, nearly two-thirds of
Americans
expect a recession within the next year. Meanwhile, 51% of respondents
said the economy was doing poorly, marking the worst economic sentiment
since February 2003. It is a good thing that everyone doesn’t
believe everything that they read about our economy. If so, we might
not even have an economy!
FEDERAL/STATE
RAID
– More than 200 agents of the FBI, U.S. Department of Health
and
Human Services and the Florida Medicaid Fraud Control unit searched the
Tampa, Florida headquarters of WellCare Health Plans last
week.
While information on why the search was performed wasn’t
released, participation of the Florida Medicaid Fraud Control unit is
probably a strong indication. Meanwhile, WellCare stock has
plummeted and investor lawsuits have begun.
LESSENING
CONCERN BY ALL REGARDING INFLATION
- The Fed has shown less concern for inflation recently. Despite the
fact that inflation is rising, investors also seem to be unconcerned.
As one investment expert puts it, “Inflation, despite some
sharp
increases in food and energy prices, has really been fairly tame on a
year-over-year basis.”
“RAMPANT”
INSIDER TRADING
- A senior SEC official says insider trading appeared to be
“rampant” among Wall Street traders and the agency
has
formed a working group to focus on it. “I believe we're going
to
see more insider trading cases. I am disappointed in the number of
cases we are seeing by people who make an abundant livelihood in the
market that they are sort of abusing by insider trading.”
Martha
Stewart was such a small deal, you wonder why the regulators even
bothered.
FINANCIAL
ENGINEERING
– For years there have been conspiracy theorists who believe
the
Federal Reserve is really a few wealthy families who control the
financial destiny of the world. Now some experts believe it is time for
Wall Street to take a good look behind what the Federal Reserve, the
Treasury and others are up to. “We used to huddle in hushed
tones
and talk about 'the invisible hand' or the 'plunge protection
team’ but now that Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson has
admitted
that ‘there is indeed a Working Group on Financial Markets in
force and at play’ maybe a conspiracy is really at
hand.”
WILDFIRES
COST
- According to analysis by Risk Management Solutions, the wildfires in
Southern California are likely to cost insurers between $900 million
and $1.6 billion, making them among the most expensive in the region's
history.
CORPORATE
CRIME WAVE
- According to a survey by PricewaterhouseCoopers, corporate crime
remains rampant and a costly problem for businesses worldwide, despite
heavy spending, tough new laws and technological countermeasures aimed
at stamping it out. In total, 43% of 5,400 companies surveyed in 40
countries reported suffering one or more significant economic crimes
since the accounting firm last conducted its survey two years ago.
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SKYROCKETING
ASSETS – Investment
News
reports that assets managed by RIAs (registered investment advisers)
have grown by 47% over the past two years, from $950 billion in 2005 to
$1.4 trillion today. The number of RIA firms has grown to
14,451
today, compared to 11,741 in 2005. Compliance is cited as
their
greatest concern by 47% of RIAs.
RECRUIT
AND RETAIN CRITICAL TO B-Ds
– According to National Financial Services, recruiting new
brokers and advisers and retaining solid producers are the two leading
business strategies for broker-dealers over the next five years.
Recruiting reps was the first or second priority of 56% of executives
who responded to the survey, while hanging on to top talent was the
first or second priority of 45% of the executives.
CHILLING
READ I: TAX EXPENDITURES
– The Joint Committee on Taxation has released its Estimates
of
Federal Tax Expenditures for Fiscal Years 2007-2011 and it is scary
reading. Mainly because it clearly lays out exactly where the money is
that is not currently taxed...tax expenditure or a revenue loss to the
government because of some special provision in the tax law granted by
Congress. Click
for a list of major tax expenditures that could affect your livelihood.
CHILLING
READ II: STATE AND LOCAL RETIREE BENEFITS
– The GAO has released a report on the “current
status of
benefit structures, protections, and fiscal outlook for funding future
costs” of providing retiree benefits to state and local
workers
(some 12% of the nation’s workforce). In a
nutshell, the
situation doesn’t look bad in regard to pension benefits, but
retiree health benefits are another matter. A summary of the
report is available here.
$50M
FOR FIDELITY ADVISOR PLATFORM
– In an attempt to keep up with the
“Schwab’s,”
Fidelity is pouring $50,000,000 into an advisor platform and will even
advertise the fact on billboards. By combining portfolio management,
customer relationship management, financial planning and
custodial-transaction applications on a single platform, the technology
will eliminate the need for advisers to use multiple systems that might
be incompatible with one another or difficult to manage in terms of
moving data between them. Okay, the VSA may not do all that, but it
will help any advisor make money and at about 5 millionths of the
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it at http://vsa.fsonline.com.
IMSA
AND ANNUITY DISTRIBUTORS
- The Insurance Marketplace Standards Association (IMSA) is setting up
a clearinghouse program that will help life insurers keep tabs on
outside annuity distributors. IMSA says the new certification program
will give life insurers the information they need to make sure
third-party annuity distributors meet suitability compliance standards.
COLLEGE
COSTS SOAR
– The College Board reports that tuition and fees at public
and
private universities have risen this year at more than double the rate
of inflation, with prices increasing faster at public institutions.
Tuition and other costs, not including room and board, rose on average
to $6,185 at public four-year colleges this year, up 6.6% from last
year, while tuition at private colleges hit $23,712, an increase of
6.3%.
ONLINE
COMPLIANCE
– FINRA has opened an online gateway through which firms can
submit regulatory forms, including those required when brokers join or
leave a firm. Check out the FINRA Firm Gateway at www.finra.org.
QUALIFIED
DEFAULT INVESTMENT ALTERNATIVES (QDIA)
– The Pension Protection Act of 2006 includes a provision
that
encourages 401(k) plan fiduciaries to make default investment decisions
for plan participants who do not say how they want their contributions
invested. Plan fiduciaries who put assets into an investment
on
the QDIA list developed by the Labor Department are protected in the
event the investments perform poorly. The Labor Department
has
decided to include variable annuities on the QDIA list, but to exclude
stable-value funds, which are invested in bonds and other highly rated
interest-bearing securities. Reason: “It
is desirable
to invest retirement savings in vehicles that provide for the
possibility of capital appreciation in addition to capital
preservation,” and stable value-funds provide only the latter.
“I
DO” DILIGENCE
– According to The Heart/Credit Connection 2006 study, a lack
of
financial responsibility is a greater cause of marital stress than
infidelity. The Street has a nice article on the on Five Financial Tip
for Newlyweds, but we will do you one better. Click
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DEDUCTABILITY
FOR LTCI -
According to American Association for Long-Term Care Insurance
(AALTCI), “Millions of small and mid-sized business owners
are
still unaware that the cost of long-term care insurance protection for
themselves and their spouse may be fully tax deductible.”
There
is still time to take advantage of tax deductions in 2007 and also
benefit from increased deductibility levels for long-term care
insurance policies purchased in 2008 (ranging from $310 to $3,850).
TALKING
TO AGING PARENTS
- By having open discussions with aging parents now, you can help to
improve their financial health, reduce potential problems and ease
burdens in the future. Here are some tips:
- Pick the right time to talk.
- Maintain a sensitive stance. Don’t be
judgmental.
- Involve an expert if needed.
- Make a list of assets and liabilities.
- Establish arrangements for financial management.
- Know where important documents are kept.
- Review estate planning and investments.
- Understand your parents’ healthcare
wishes.
ONE
NATION, UNDER HEDGE FUNDS – Ben Stein has a
great article in the NYT,
where he proposes that we turn the entire country’s income
raising over to these hedge fund gurus who are supposedly making 30% to
40% annual returns on a consistent basis. With a modest investment we
could pay off the national debt and even eliminate income taxes
altogether.
CONSUMER
CONFIDENCE LOW - Reuters
reports that consumer confidence fell in October to its lowest level in
more than a year. Sub-prime mess, credit crunch, Iran, terrorism and
oil at nearly a million dollars a barrel...what can you expect.
PREPARING
FOR HARD FINANCIAL TIMES – Here are a few quick
tips:
- Pay off or pay down debt.
- Postpone major purchases.
- Bulk up your savings and max out your 401(k)
contributions.
- Diversify your portfolio and stay focused on your
long-term goals.
- Protect your job by finding ways to make yourself
more valuable to your employer.
AX
THE TAX –
Michigan has passed a bill to place 6% tax on investment advice and
other services, including astrology readings and escort services. The
Coalition to Ax the Tax has formed, proposing to replace the tax with a
tax on campaign advertising. The group also proposes converting the
state legislature to part-time status. FYI, in 40 states, legislatures
are currently part time...if they all were and added term limits we
would probably be a lot better off.
ADVISERS
DOUBT CHARITABLE ABILITY
- While most advisers are willing to offer advice on charitable giving,
many admit that they aren't entirely comfortable with their level of
expertise in such matters. A Schwab Charitable white paper reveals that
37% said they had doubts about their philanthropic expertise. The
survey also showed that just 5% said that they talked about charitable
giving with all clients. Here is help for the remaining 95%. First,
there is a lot of help available in the charitable arena from banks and
the charities themselves...and then there is the Virtual Sales
Assistant! The VSA has calculators, resource material and presentations
to grab a prospect’s interest before an expert is needed.
Check
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EIGHT
CASH FLOW SECRETS - Eight cash flow secrets of
entrepreneurs:
1. Assume that your estimates are wrong — and save for a
rainy day.
2. Don't underestimate the value of a good customer.
3. Keep tabs on your expenses.
4. Don't extend credit to just anyone.
5. Be firm but kind with clients.
6. Break even every time.
7. Be honest with the taxman.
8. Keep away from credit cards if possible.
VARIABLE
LIFE BROKER DEALER
- FINRA has given Invescor Wholesale BD Inc. permission to expand into
the secondary life insurance market. Expect more broker dealers to
follow suit.
FEMALE
ESTATE PLANNERS
- When Dan found out he was going to inherit a fortune when his sickly
father died, he decided he needed a woman to enjoy it with. So, one
evening he went to a singles bar where he spotted the most beautiful
woman he had ever seen. Her natural beauty took his breath away.
“I may look like just an ordinary man,” he said as
he
walked up to her, “but in just a few months, my father will
die,
and I'll inherit 20 million dollars.” Impressed, the woman
went
home with him that evening and, three days later, she became his
stepmother. Women are so much better at estate planning than men.
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