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December 15, 2005
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BROKER-DEALERS TIGHTEN GRIP -
National Planning is telling its registered representatives that they
must register with the firm as investment adviser reps when discussing
or selling any financial planning products - such as life insurance.
Many reps sell such products without registering in order to avoid
splitting fees with their broker-dealers. The SEC's recent "Merrill
Lynch rule" seems to be at the root of National Planning's decision.
This move could be a trend and cost some reps a portion of their fees
and commissions.
NASD "RISK SCORES"
- NASD plans to assign broker-dealers and individual registered
representatives "risk scores" based on "customer complaints,
arbitrations, civil and criminal litigation, regulatory actions, etc."
MORNINGSTAR BUYS
IBBOTSON – Morningstar, the mutual fund analyst, has
purchased Ibbotson, the chart and historical data people, for $83
million. Morningstar just completed an IPO in May and the deal should
add additional clout to its equity research department.
GM AND FORD
– S&P has downgraded GM's bonds and stated that bankruptcy is
not "far-fetched" if present trends continue. At the same time, Ford is
preparing to lay off about 30,000 employees and close at least 8
plants.
TRIA UPDATE
– The House and Senate have both passed legislation extending the
Terrorism Risk Insurance Act (TRIA), which expires on December
31. The problem is that the House extension is considerably more
expansive than the Senate version. It remains to be seen what
compromise can be worked out prior to the end of the year.
NAME CHANGE -
Allmerica Financial Corporation has changed its name to The Hanover
Insurance Group and now trades on the NYSE under the symbol "THG."
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NEXT RETIREMENT TIME BOMB – We
are finally seeing the mainstream financial press addressing what we
have said is a very serious problem for years now. Municipal, state and
federal defined benefit retirement programs and retirement health
benefits are seriously underfunded. Actuaries just discovered that the
health benefits promised to retirees of Duluth, MN (lifetime health
care to all of its retired workers, their spouses and their children up
to age 26) will cost about $178 million, or more than double the city's
operating budget. And the bill was growing. The mayor put it this way,
"We can't pay for it. The city isn't going to function because it's
just going to be in the health care business." This scary scenario is
about to be repeated across the country in thousands of government
bodies, including states, cities, towns, school districts and water
authorities.
FURTHER EVIDENCE OF
THE "BOMB" – The state of Alaska recently "discovered" its
future combined obligations for pensions and retiree health care were
underfunded by $5.7 billion. Michigan estimates its underfunding at $30
billion and Maryland at $20.4 billion. Actuaries say that about 5.5
million retired public employees have health benefits of some kind and
that there are not enough actuaries in the country to do all the
calculations necessary to estimate how much all these retirees have
been promised. FYI, only one in 20 private companies still offers
retiree benefits.
INSIDE BUILDUP – The
President's Advisory Panel on Federal Tax Reform has recommend a low
cap on mortgage interest payment deductions, but another section of the
panel's recommendations is more onerous to the insurance industry. The
panel would put life insurance and annuities in a category that would
include investment products, such as mutual funds, and allow a maximum
of $10,000 per year in tax-free inside buildup of investments in these
products. This could be disastrous to the insurance industry and,
needless to say, virtually all industry associations are lobbying
vigorously against the proposal.
AMERIPRISE SETTLES - Ameriprise
Financial (formerly American Express Financial Corporation) settled
market-timing charges with regulators by agreeing to pay $15 million to
the SEC. Additionally, Ameriprise will make annual presentations before
the funds' board of directors, specifically about its policies and
procedures to prevent market-timing and hire an "independent
distribution consultant" to determine how the penalty should be
distributed among shareholders adversely affected at the market-timed
funds.
ECONOMIC OPTIMISM
- Corporate America is about to start spending. Two-thirds of the
companies participating in the fourth quarter "CFO Outlook" survey plan
to increase capital spending over the next twelve months, and the
average change is expected to be up 9%. The CFO economic optimism
index, which had been dropping since June 2004,is now at its highest
level since that date.
USPS IS OUT OF DEBT - The U.S.
Postal Service reported it was out of debt in the 2005 fiscal year
ended Sept. 30 and that it delivered a record 212 billion pieces of
mail during the period. "Financially, we are in the best position we've
been since the 1970s," said Postmaster General John Potter. However,
rates for sending a first class letter will increase two cents to 39
cents, or by 5.4%, in January. Wonder what financial position the
Postal service would be in if we knew the extent of underfunding of
retiree health and retirement benefits?
DEERE SELLS HEALTH UNIT - Tractor
manufacturer, John Deere, is selling Deere Health Care to UnitedHealth
for $500 million. The unit now manages health care for Deere employees,
retirees, surviving spouses and dependents.
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DISABILITY COULD JEOPARDIZE RETIREMENT
– A MetLife survey of 401(k) participants indicates that only 43%
have individual or group disability insurance and 59% have less than
$5,000 in personal savings. As a follow-up question, researchers asked
what participants would do if they needed $10,000 to $35,000 for a
major illness. 27% said they would get the needed money from savings
and investments; 21% said they would have to use home equity; 25% said
they would have to tap into their retirement and 26% had no clue.
More survey results are available by clicking here.
RECENT FIGURES
- The Social Security Administration (SSA, 2003) estimates that three
in 10 of today's 20 year olds will suffer a disability before reaching
age 67. In another sobering statistic, the SSA reports that 75 percent
of people working in the private sector have no long-term disability
insurance. Essentially, three of four workers would have to rely on
their own personal savings, limited state-run insurance and Social
Security for replacement income in the event they could not work
because of a disability. In August 2004, the average monthly Social
Security benefit for disabled workers was $867. Over the course of a
year, that totals approximately $10,400, and for many workers and their
families, that is significantly less than their annual expenses.
RETIREMENT PLANNING
RESOURCE - National Association for Variable Annuities (NAVA)
has produced a very nice educational website for consumers that could
help advisors working in the retirement market. Check it out at www.RetireOnYourTerms.com.
AXA has also unveiled a "VA education service" at www.variableannuityfacts.org.
IRS RAMPS UP TO FIND
CHEATERS - According to the Internal Revenue Service Oversight
Board, the federal government is cheated out of $300 billion a year in
unpaid taxes. Further, about one in five taxpayers believe that it is
"acceptable" to cheat on their taxes. However, things may change soon
since Congress recently increased IRS money earmarked for enforcement
activities. The plan is for the agency to focus more of its resources
on investigating taxpayers with incomes of $100,000 plus and those
using abusive tax shelters.
INDEX ANNUITIES OUT
PERFORM CDs – According to Advantage Compendium, over the
last 5 years the worst performing index annuity beat the total return
of the average stock mutual fund by over 4% and the average "Index
Annuity" return was 70% higher than the average CD. The reality is
index annuities performed reasonably, but not exceptionally, in a
difficult five-year timeframe. The average index annuity total return
was 24%.
SMOKING AND EATING
- The America's Health Rankings report claims that 23.1% of the U.S.
population is obese...twice the level in 1990. Further, while the
number of smokers has fallen about 30% since 1990 (to 20.8% of the
population), most of that decline came in the early 1990s with no
significant drop between 1993 and 2003. Bottom line: With more people
getting fat and fewer giving up smoking, the improvement in the overall
health of Americans has stalled. This article claims that life
expectancy in the U.S. is less than 70 years...less that 28 other
countries, but see the next abstract.
LIFE EXPECTANCY AT
ALL-TIME HIGH - U.S. life expectancy has hit an all-time high at
77.6 years. But, the march of medical progress has taken a worrisome
turn: Half of Americans in the 55-to-64 age group have high blood
pressure, and two in five are obese. That means they are in worse shape
in some respects than Americans born a decade earlier were when they
were that age. The health of this large group of the near elderly is of
major concern to American taxpayers, because they are now becoming
eligible for Medicare and Social Security.
REJECTED -
The National Association of Insurance Commissioners has rejected the
proposal to issue a special license for those who sell term life
insurance only.
TIPS, AN INFLATION
HEDGE - Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS) are
issued by the Treasury, backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S.
government and are the most common (but still relatively unknown) U.S.
inflation-indexed security available to investors. The principal of
TIPS adjusts for changes in inflation based on the Consumer Price Index
(CPI). When TIPS mature, the investor receives the original value of
the bond plus an additional amount to account for inflation. TIPS pay a
fixed rate of interest twice each year. The interest rate is applied to
the adjusted principal, so interest payments rise with inflation and
fall with deflation.
TAX GUIDE AVAILABLE
- Deloitte has published "Essential Tax & Wealth Planning Guide for
2006," a roadmap that helps individuals navigate traditional tax,
wealth planning and financial planning issues, as well as potential
hazards, such as the alternative minimum tax, repeal of the estate tax,
the new tax law, hurricane relief and other issues. The guide is
free and available by visiting Deloitte's Web
site.
GOOD NEWS/BAD NEWS
- The good news is that, according to the Federal Reserve, the net
wealth of American households rose to $51.09 trillion in the third
quarter, up from $49.77 trillion in the third quarter. The bad
news is that household debt grew at the fastest rate since 1987...an
annual rate of 11.6%.
FREE EIA PERFORMANCE
RATINGS - A new, free online service from MCP Premium software
removes the guesswork about how different equity-indexed annuities may
perform in different markets. Advisors can now easily see which EIA
products are more likely to consistently perform better than their
peers. It is the industry's first service of this kind. This free site,
located at http://mcppremium.com/mcp_adv_ratings.htm,
gives letter grades for dozens of equity-indexed annuities, rating
their performance in bear and bull markets and over the last 10 years.
MEDICARE PART D
– The new Medicare Part D prescription drug benefit continues to
suffer criticism concerning its complexity. Retirees with
company-provided health care coverage, however, need to be especially
careful. Some companies providing retiree coverage have indicated
that retirees who enroll in Part D will lose the company's drug
coverage, while other companies say that such retirees will lose ALL
company-provided health care coverage. Buyers beware!
LESS SATISFIED
– Research from the Employee Benefit Research Institute indicates
that Americans enrolled in high-deductible health plans are less
satisfied with their health plan those people who have comprehensive
health insurance. They are also less likely to recommend the
high-deductible plans (i.e., HSAs/HRAs) to friends and family.
More information on the survey is available here.
SPEAR-PHISHING
– You have heard about phishing, but now there is spear-phishing,
which targets specific victims instead of casting a broad net across
cyberspace hoping to catch victims. By targeting specific individuals,
the spear-phisher can produce Bogus e-mail messages and Web sites that
not only look like near perfect replicas of communiques from e-commerce
companies like eBay or its PayPal service, banks or even a victim's
employer, but are also targeted at people known to have an established
relationship with the sender being mimicked. Be careful!
PHISHERS USING TAX
REFUND AS BAIT - A spam e-mail tells people they are eligible
for a $571.94 tax refund from the IRS and, due to some very bad
programming by the government, it actually links directly to the
government. "This is more advanced than the typical phish,
because the Web link really does--at first--take you to the real tax
benefit Web site. Unfortunately the way the government Web site has
been configured allows the phishers to bounce the unwary in their
direction." The link in the phishing e-mail goes to a forged IRS Web
site that asks for a Social Security number, tax return filing code and
credit card details including security code and PIN.
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