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US FlagDecember 15, 2008 Edition
Bend over backwards for your clients!


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$8 TRILLION RESCUE PLAN - Yes, taxpayers face a potential rescue bill of about $8.331 trillion. Some of the money is in loans and guarantees that might not be lost, but don't count on it. We will spare you the list, but if you are a "glutton for punishment," click here.  

FUTURE ECONOMIC RECOVERY PACKAGE - A group of economists, labor and public interest leaders have banded together to create OurFuture.org and are calling for a "substantial, strategic, sustained $900 billion or more boost over two years."  Click here to review their "Main Street Recovery Program."  You might also be interested in reading CNNMoney.com's take on "how to get stuff we actually want."  

ALT-A AND OPTION ARMS - Brace yourself and prepare for the second wave of the mortgage defaults that will be at least as big as the subprime loan problem. Alt-A loans, sometimes called "Liars Loans" and NINJA (no income, no job) loans, are on their way to default. Option ARMS are loans with "teaser rates" that increase after a few years...those will blow up soon also. Not a pretty picture. Oh, did we mention commercial real estate loans?

FANNIE AND FREDDIE IN ORGY OF NONPRIMES - The former executive, Edward J. Pinto, who was chief credit officer at Fannie Mae, told the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac engaged in "an orgy of junk mortgage development" that turned the two mortgage-finance giants into vast repositories of subprime and similarly risky loans. The mortgage development, which began in 2005 and lasted until last year, happened as senior executives at the two government-sponsored enterprises ignored repeated warnings from internal risk officers that they were delving too deeply into dangerous territory. The mortgage giants now guarantee or hold 10.5 million nonprime loans worth $1.6 trillion - one in three of all subprime loans, and nearly two in three of all so-called Alt-A loans (see above).

HUSH MONEY? - Do you think the $175 million dollars donated by Freddie and Fannie (government sponsored enterprises...whatever that is!) to various politicians had anything to do with regulators looking the other way? Click here to see a time line and what the politicians now leading the "reform" said about Freddie and Fannie in 2004.  

DELINQUENT AGAIN - The majority of U.S. mortgages modified in an effort to help struggling borrowers avoid foreclosures become delinquent again within six months.  According to John Dugan, head of the Treasury Department's Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, nearly 53% of borrowers whose loans were modified during the first quarter of 2008 were more than 30 days delinquent during the third quarter of the year.

FED TOOLS - The Federal Reserve is expected to reduce the benchmark federal-funds rate to 0.5% at its December 16 meeting, the lowest rate since the Fed began keeping records in 1954.  Having just about exhausted interest rate cuts, the Fed is reported to be looking at other tools it can use to combat a deepening economic downturn.  Among these might be the ability for the Federal Reserve to issue its own debt.  While the Fed can print as much money as it wants, issuing debt has been the province of the Treasury Department.  The ability to issue debt could give the Fed a new way to boost the money supply to combat a possible deflationary spiral.

PAYING FOR SECURITY - There doesn't appear to be any shortage of investors who are willing to pay for the privilege of owning U.S. government debt.  While interest rates on three-month Treasury bills reached negative levels for a brief time in October, demand remains strong as nervous investors look for security.



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BIGGEST FRAUD EVER - Some of the world's biggest investors have fallen prey to a giant Ponzi scheme. It is hard to tell at this point, but estimates are that Wall Street veteran Bernard Madoff cheated international banks, hedge funds and wealthy private investors out of some $50 billion. Investors include the owners of the Philadelphia Eagles, the New York Mets and, most regrettably, some large charitable foundations.  Mr. Madoff is a past chairman of the board of directors of the Nasdaq Stock Market, as well as a former member of the board of governors of the National Association of Securities Dealers and a member of numerous committees of the organization.  By all accounts, he's been operating his Ponzi scheme for decades.

BIGGER PONZI? - At least one writer thinks the government needs Bernard Madoff for his certified-expert abilities in Ponzi schemes and recommends him as Commissioner of the Social Security Administration. Unfortunately, there are some similarities.

DASCHLE HEALTH CARE PLAN - In selecting Tom Daschle to be his health and human services secretary, President-elect Barack Obama says he wants to secure "affordable, accessible health care for every single American."  Daschle wants to establish a Federal Health Board, a powerful independent entity modeled on the Federal Reserve, to decide which drugs, devices and treatments are covered by federal health programs. And he says the federal government should offer its own health insurance plan, to compete directly with private plans, a proposal that alarms many. Mr. Obama said 45 million people had no health insurance and were struggling to pay "the runaway cost of health care." A major health care initiative "has to be intimately woven into our overall economic recovery plan," Mr. Obama said, adding: "It's not something that we can put off because we are in an emergency. This is part of the emergency." In his book "Critical," Mr. Daschle said that people without job-based insurance should be able to enroll in any of the health plans offered to federal employees, or in a new "government-run insurance program modeled after Medicare." It won't be easy and one has to wonder from whence the money will come.

HEALTH INSURANCE MANDATE - America's Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) is proposing to help individuals and small groups buy health coverage by creating an "essential benefits plan" that would be exempt from state mandates.  The plan would offer guaranteed coverage for people with pre-existing medical conditions, but only in conjunction with an "enforceable" individual coverage mandate.  On the one hand, it makes sense to require universal coverage if health insurers are going to forego underwriting risks.  On the other hand, it's pretty unlikely that the American public will respond favorably to a requirement to purchase health insurance unless there are some cost controls on insurers in place.   

JOBLESS CLAIMS AT 26 YEAR HIGH - As a deepening recession forced employers to cut back hiring, the number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits surged to 524,500 last week, its highest level in 26 years.
 
GOVERNMENT EXIT STRATEGY - SEC Commissioner Christopher Cox says government must create strategies to eventually dilute its involvement with private enterprise. Focusing on exit strategies is vital to avoid "far greater financial exposure for the American people, and a far worse situation for America's taxpayers and investors." In an attempt to boost a severely weakened economy, U.S. officials have doled out billions of dollars in bailouts - in the process making the U.S. government a major shareholder in banking and financial institutions and other private companies across the United States.  Cox said, if prolonged, this will threaten private ownership, which is directly tied to America's dedication to individual freedom and its rise to being a global superpower. But do all our elected officials agree?

TRICKLEDOWN DOWNSIZING - Many highly-paid executives hire domestic help.  In fact, Domestic Workers United, a nonprofit advocacy group, estimates there are more than 200,000 nannies, housekeepers, personal chefs and other domestic workers employed in the New York area alone. Unfortunately, as professionals adjust their spending because of job losses, salary or bonus cuts or just anxiety about the future, domestic workers' wages are often the first thing to go.

SPEAKING OF BONUSES - The top executives at Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley announced that they would not take bonuses for 2008, "following an abysmal year of losses."  This announcement followed reports that Merrill CEO John Thain had been seeking a bonus of $5 to $10 million dollars "because he helped avert a much larger crisis at the firm by engineering its sale to Bank of America."  To that we respond:  

non sequitur

IRRESPONSIBLE AND UNFAIR? - Reports are surfacing that AIG, the recipient of a $150 billion taxpayer-funded bailout, is aggressively cutting its insurance rates in an attempt to win new business and boost market share.  If underwriting losses become a problem, the U.S. government may have to provide more financial support.  According to Liberty Mutual chief executive Edmund Kelly, "I think it's fair to say they're doing some very stupid things in the market.  If (AIG units) are not reined in, it could be very destabilizing for the market."

HEROES AND ZEROS - Click here to review CNNMoney.com's 2008 cast of financial "saints and sinners."  

WORKER, RETIREE AND EMPLOYER RECOVERY ACT OF 2008 - Congress has passed and President Bush is expected to sign legislation that will suspend retirement plan required minimum distributions for 2009.  Required minimum distributions are not suspended for 2008 by the legislation. The new law also provides some relief to businesses that find themselves unable to comply with the increased defined benefit funding requirements of the Pension Protection Act of 2006 and still remain in business.  Here's a good summary from CCH.

NAIFA POSITION ON 151A - The SEC proposed Rule 151A would classify most indexed annuities as securities. NAIFA opposes the rule. NAIFA acknowledges the concerns that have been raised regarding the suitability of certain indexed annuity sales and some of the methods used to market indexed annuity products. NAIFA strongly believes that people who engage in unscrupulous or misleading sales practices should be aggressively prosecuted and subject to appropriate and meaningful sanctions. However, concerns regarding suitability, disclosure and marketing methods are not the relevant criteria to consider in determining whether a financial product is or is not a security. NAIFA agrees with state insurance regulators that indexed annuities should be classified as insurance products, and that the state insurance regulatory structure is the appropriate means for addressing the concerns raised by the SEC. NAIFA is committed to working with the NAIC and state insurance departments towards the goal of having every state adopt and vigorously enforce the NAIC's model regulations on annuity suitability and disclosure.

FINANCIAL PLANNING REFORM - Three financial planning organizations, Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards (CFP), Financial Planning Association (FPA), and National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA), will come together to pursue industry reform. The purpose is to develop a unified response to expected reform of the financial services industry by the next Congress. Flash for all involved: Traditional advisors, agents and planners had nothing to do with our financial debacle...all that is really needed at that level is suitability and integrity.

ALLOWANCE 101 - An allowance can help give kids the tools to budget and manage their own money as adults. Here are some tips: Stick to a formula (simpler the better), stay within your personal budget, don't compare with friends and neighbors, keep kids informed (they should be aware of the recession), stick to the amount (once the weekly figure is set, strictly limit additional money) and increase financial responsibility with age. Also, send your clients with kids the popular Virtual Assistant Life Guide, Money Doesn't Grow on Trees. Unlimited personalized copies are available to VSA subscribers at http://thevirtualassistant.com

FIXED ANNUITIES UP, VAs DOWN - LIMRA reports that, despite the decline of variable annuity sales, individual annuities sales continue at a record setting pace in 2008, reaching $197.1 billion. Fixed annuity sales were up 41% year-to-date as sales reached $75.1 billion, while variable annuity sales declined 10%.

ESTATE TAX PREDICTION - Look for future estate tax rates to be set at 2009 levels...45% top rate with a $3.5 million exemption.

COVERAGE GAP - According to a study conducted by researchers at New York Life, the typical American family has only about half the life insurance it needs in order to meet its self-described financial objectives.  Click here for more information on the Life Insurance Gap.  

LIFELINE FOR SMALL BUSINESSES - Life settlements of life insurance policies on the company's owners can provide small businesses with liquidity, but be careful. Having the policyowner's written consent to sell the insurance policies on the secondary market is a key component in the successful transaction. Without that consent, the estates of the decedents could bring a claim on the benefits.

HIGH DEDUCTIBLE INSURANCE BETTER THAN NO INSURANCE - This is a good statement and lots of folks should heed the advice. We still believe the health saving account is a great approach for a lot of folks. Really beneficial for younger, healthier people who probably won't reach the annual deductible amount and chronically ill people whose expenses will probably exceed yearly maximum out-of-pocket limits. That covers almost everyone who has a reasonable income.

CONSUMERS STILL WARY OF ANNUITIES - A LIMRA study of consumers reveals that despite the continual upswing of fixed annuity products, consumers find annuities confusing and tend to harbor a bias against the product. Consumers' primary concerns with annuity products are centered on commissions and early withdrawal penalties.

PLAN SPONSORS SHOULD FOCUS ON LIFETIME INCOME - The Institutional Retirement Income Research Council (IRIRC) released a new white paper entitled "Institutional Retirement Income Solutions: A Call to Action," that encourages employers to shift their focus from accumulating for retirement and include retirement income solutions in their defined contribution plans. The IRIRC suggests a shift in the way the country saves, saying too much of a burden has been placed on individuals since defined benefit plans have more or less faded away.  

WORKERS LOWER HEALTH COSTS - A Watson Wyatt survey revealed that employees are less willing to take on higher premiums in order to keep their deductibles and co-pays lower. Further, people are scaling back on all medical expenses, with an increasing number skipping doctor's appointments and dosages of their prescription medication or failing to get prescriptions filled.

PRIMARY CARE DOCTORS SCARCE - The dual bureaucracies of government programs and insurance carriers are running primary care physicians off at warp speed. A survey of nearly 12,000 primary care physicians revealed that almost half said that if they had an alternative, they would leave medicine. Reasons cited: Red tape from insurance companies and programs like Medicare and Medicaid, lower insurance company reimbursements, and skyrocketing malpractice insurance.

CHINESE SOCIAL SECURITY - As ET said, "We are not alone." The Chinese Communist Party is grappling with how to creating a new social safety net for millions of workers cast adrift in the past 15 years. Further, the global economic downturn could create waves of more unemployed.

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