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December 15, 2008
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$8 TRILLION RESCUE PLAN
- Yes, taxpayers face a potential rescue bill of about $8.331
trillion. Some of the money is in loans and guarantees that might not
be lost, but don't count on it. We will spare you the list, but if you
are a "glutton for punishment," click
here.
FUTURE
ECONOMIC RECOVERY PACKAGE
- A group of economists, labor and public interest leaders have banded
together to create OurFuture.org and are calling for a "substantial,
strategic, sustained $900 billion or more boost over two
years." Click here
to review their "Main Street Recovery Program." You might
also be interested in reading CNNMoney.com's take on "how
to get stuff we actually want."
ALT-A
AND OPTION ARMS
- Brace yourself and prepare for the second wave of the mortgage
defaults that will be at least as big as the subprime loan problem.
Alt-A loans, sometimes called "Liars Loans" and NINJA (no income, no
job) loans, are on their way to default. Option ARMS are loans with
"teaser rates" that increase after a few years...those will blow up
soon also. Not a pretty picture. Oh, did we mention commercial real
estate loans?
FANNIE
AND FREDDIE IN ORGY OF NONPRIMES
- The former executive, Edward J. Pinto, who was chief credit officer
at Fannie Mae, told the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee
that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac engaged in "an orgy of junk mortgage
development" that turned the two mortgage-finance giants into vast
repositories of subprime and similarly risky loans. The mortgage
development, which began in 2005 and lasted until last year, happened
as senior executives at the two government-sponsored enterprises
ignored repeated warnings from internal risk officers that they were
delving too deeply into dangerous territory. The mortgage giants now
guarantee or hold 10.5 million nonprime loans worth $1.6 trillion
- one in three of all subprime loans, and nearly two in three of
all so-called Alt-A loans (see above).
HUSH
MONEY? -
Do you think the $175 million dollars donated by Freddie and Fannie
(government sponsored enterprises...whatever that is!) to various
politicians had anything to do with regulators looking the other way? Click here
to see a time line and what the politicians now leading the "reform"
said about Freddie and Fannie in 2004.
DELINQUENT
AGAIN
- The majority of U.S. mortgages modified in an effort to help
struggling borrowers avoid foreclosures become delinquent again within
six months. According to John Dugan, head of the Treasury
Department's Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, nearly 53% of
borrowers whose loans were modified during the first quarter of 2008
were more than 30 days delinquent during the third quarter of the year.
FED
TOOLS -
The Federal Reserve is expected to reduce the benchmark federal-funds
rate to 0.5% at its December 16 meeting, the lowest rate since the Fed
began keeping records in 1954. Having just about exhausted
interest rate cuts, the Fed is reported to be looking at other tools it
can use to combat a deepening economic downturn. Among these
might be the ability for the Federal Reserve to issue its own
debt. While the Fed can print as much money as it wants,
issuing
debt has been the province of the Treasury Department. The
ability to issue debt could give the Fed a new way to boost the money
supply to combat a possible deflationary spiral.
PAYING
FOR SECURITY
- There doesn't appear to be any shortage of investors who are willing
to pay for the privilege of owning U.S. government debt.
While
interest rates on three-month Treasury bills reached negative levels
for a brief time in October, demand remains strong as nervous investors
look for security.
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BIGGEST FRAUD EVER
- Some of the world's biggest investors have fallen prey to a
giant Ponzi scheme. It is hard to tell at this point, but estimates are
that Wall Street veteran Bernard Madoff cheated international banks,
hedge funds and wealthy private investors out of some $50 billion.
Investors include the owners of the Philadelphia Eagles, the New York
Mets and, most regrettably, some large charitable
foundations.
Mr. Madoff is a past chairman of the board of directors of the Nasdaq
Stock Market, as well as a former member of the board of governors of
the National Association of Securities Dealers and a member of numerous
committees of the organization. By all accounts, he's been
operating his Ponzi scheme for decades.
BIGGER
PONZI?
- At least one writer thinks the government needs Bernard Madoff
for his certified-expert abilities in Ponzi schemes and recommends him
as Commissioner of the Social Security Administration. Unfortunately,
there are some similarities.
DASCHLE
HEALTH CARE PLAN
- In selecting Tom Daschle to be his health and human services
secretary, President-elect Barack Obama says he wants to secure
"affordable, accessible health care for every single
American."
Daschle wants to establish a Federal Health Board, a powerful
independent entity modeled on the Federal Reserve, to decide which
drugs, devices and treatments are covered by federal health programs.
And he says the federal government should offer its own health
insurance plan, to compete directly with private plans, a proposal that
alarms many. Mr. Obama said 45 million people had no health insurance
and were struggling to pay "the runaway cost of health care." A major
health care initiative "has to be intimately woven into our overall
economic recovery plan," Mr. Obama said, adding: "It's not something
that we can put off because we are in an emergency. This is part of the
emergency." In his book "Critical," Mr. Daschle said that people
without job-based insurance should be able to enroll in any of the
health plans offered to federal employees, or in a new "government-run
insurance program modeled after Medicare." It won't be easy and one has
to wonder from whence the money will come.
HEALTH
INSURANCE MANDATE
- America's Health Insurance Plans (AHIP) is proposing to help
individuals and small groups buy health coverage by creating an
"essential benefits plan" that would be exempt from state
mandates. The plan would offer guaranteed coverage for people
with pre-existing medical conditions, but only in conjunction with an
"enforceable" individual coverage mandate. On the one hand,
it
makes sense to require universal coverage if health insurers are going
to forego underwriting risks. On the other hand, it's pretty
unlikely that the American public will respond favorably to a
requirement to purchase health insurance unless there are some cost
controls on insurers in place.
JOBLESS
CLAIMS AT 26 YEAR HIGH
- As a deepening recession forced employers to cut back hiring, the
number of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits surged to
524,500 last week, its highest level in 26 years.
GOVERNMENT
EXIT STRATEGY
- SEC Commissioner Christopher Cox says government must create
strategies to eventually dilute its involvement with private
enterprise. Focusing on exit strategies is vital to avoid "far greater
financial exposure for the American people, and a far worse situation
for America's taxpayers and investors." In an attempt to boost a
severely weakened economy, U.S. officials have doled out billions of
dollars in bailouts - in the process making the U.S. government a major
shareholder in banking and financial institutions and other private
companies across the United States. Cox said, if prolonged,
this
will threaten private ownership, which is directly tied to America's
dedication to individual freedom and its rise to being a global
superpower. But do all our elected officials agree?
TRICKLEDOWN
DOWNSIZING
- Many highly-paid executives hire domestic help. In fact,
Domestic Workers United, a nonprofit advocacy group, estimates there
are more than 200,000 nannies, housekeepers, personal chefs and other
domestic workers employed in the New York area alone. Unfortunately, as
professionals adjust their spending because of job losses, salary or
bonus cuts or just anxiety about the future, domestic workers' wages
are often the first thing to go.
SPEAKING
OF BONUSES
- The top executives at Merrill Lynch and Morgan Stanley announced that
they would not take bonuses for 2008, "following an abysmal year of
losses." This announcement followed reports that Merrill CEO
John
Thain had been seeking a bonus of $5 to $10 million dollars "because he
helped avert a much larger crisis at the firm by engineering its sale
to Bank of America." To that we respond:

IRRESPONSIBLE
AND UNFAIR?
- Reports are surfacing that AIG, the recipient of a $150 billion
taxpayer-funded bailout, is aggressively cutting its insurance rates in
an attempt to win new business and boost market share. If
underwriting losses become a problem, the U.S. government may have to
provide more financial support. According to Liberty Mutual
chief
executive Edmund Kelly, "I think it's fair to say they're doing some
very stupid things in the market. If (AIG units) are not
reined
in, it could be very destabilizing for the market."
HEROES
AND ZEROS - Click
here to review CNNMoney.com's 2008 cast of financial "saints
and sinners."
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WORKER,
RETIREE AND EMPLOYER RECOVERY ACT OF 2008
- Congress has passed and President Bush is expected to sign
legislation that will suspend retirement plan required minimum
distributions for 2009. Required minimum distributions are
not
suspended for 2008 by the legislation. The new law also provides some
relief to businesses that find themselves unable to comply with the
increased defined benefit funding requirements of the Pension
Protection Act of 2006 and still remain in business. Here's a
good summary from CCH.
NAIFA
POSITION ON 151A
- The SEC proposed Rule 151A would classify most indexed annuities as
securities. NAIFA opposes the rule. NAIFA acknowledges the concerns
that have been raised regarding the suitability of certain indexed
annuity sales and some of the methods used to market indexed annuity
products. NAIFA strongly believes that people who engage in
unscrupulous or misleading sales practices should be aggressively
prosecuted and subject to appropriate and meaningful sanctions.
However, concerns regarding suitability, disclosure and marketing
methods are not the relevant criteria to consider in determining
whether a financial product is or is not a security. NAIFA agrees with
state insurance regulators that indexed annuities should be classified
as insurance products, and that the state insurance regulatory
structure is the appropriate means for addressing the concerns raised
by the SEC. NAIFA is committed to working with the NAIC and state
insurance departments towards the goal of having every state adopt and
vigorously enforce the NAIC's model regulations on annuity suitability
and disclosure.
FINANCIAL
PLANNING REFORM
- Three financial planning organizations, Certified Financial Planner
Board of Standards (CFP), Financial Planning Association (FPA), and
National Association of Personal Financial Advisors (NAPFA), will come
together to pursue industry reform. The purpose is to develop a unified
response to expected reform of the financial services industry by the
next Congress. Flash for all involved: Traditional advisors, agents and
planners had nothing to do with our financial debacle...all that is
really needed at that level is suitability and integrity.
ALLOWANCE
101
- An allowance can help give kids the tools to budget and manage their
own money as adults. Here are some tips: Stick to a formula (simpler
the better), stay within your personal budget, don't compare with
friends and neighbors, keep kids informed (they should be aware of the
recession), stick to the amount (once the weekly figure is set,
strictly limit additional money) and increase financial responsibility
with age. Also, send your clients with kids the popular Virtual
Assistant Life Guide, Money
Doesn't Grow on Trees. Unlimited personalized copies are
available to VSA subscribers at http://thevirtualassistant.com.
FIXED
ANNUITIES UP, VAs DOWN
- LIMRA reports that, despite the decline of variable annuity
sales, individual annuities sales continue at a record setting pace in
2008, reaching $197.1 billion. Fixed annuity sales were up 41%
year-to-date as sales reached $75.1 billion, while variable annuity
sales declined 10%.
ESTATE
TAX PREDICTION - Look for future estate tax rates to be
set at 2009 levels...45% top rate with a $3.5 million exemption.
COVERAGE
GAP
- According to a study conducted by researchers at New York Life, the
typical American family has only about half the life insurance it needs
in order to meet its self-described financial objectives. Click
here for more information on the Life Insurance
Gap.
LIFELINE
FOR SMALL BUSINESSES
- Life settlements of life insurance policies on the company's
owners can provide small businesses with liquidity, but be careful.
Having the policyowner's written consent to sell the insurance policies
on the secondary market is a key component in the successful
transaction. Without that consent, the estates of the decedents could
bring a claim on the benefits.
HIGH
DEDUCTIBLE INSURANCE BETTER THAN NO INSURANCE
- This is a good statement and lots of folks should heed the
advice. We still believe the health saving account is a great approach
for a lot of folks. Really beneficial for younger, healthier people who
probably won't reach the annual deductible amount and chronically ill
people whose expenses will probably exceed yearly maximum out-of-pocket
limits. That covers almost everyone who has a reasonable income.
CONSUMERS
STILL WARY OF ANNUITIES
- A LIMRA study of consumers reveals that despite the continual upswing
of fixed annuity products, consumers find annuities confusing and tend
to harbor a bias against the product. Consumers' primary concerns with
annuity products are centered on commissions and early withdrawal
penalties.
PLAN
SPONSORS SHOULD FOCUS ON LIFETIME INCOME - The
Institutional Retirement Income Research Council (IRIRC) released a new
white paper entitled "Institutional
Retirement Income Solutions: A Call to Action,"
that encourages employers to shift their focus from accumulating for
retirement and include retirement income solutions in their defined
contribution plans. The IRIRC suggests a shift in the way the country
saves, saying too much of a burden has been placed on individuals since
defined benefit plans have more or less faded away.
WORKERS
LOWER HEALTH COSTS
- A Watson Wyatt survey revealed that employees are less willing to
take on higher premiums in order to keep their deductibles and co-pays
lower. Further, people are scaling back on all medical expenses, with
an increasing number skipping doctor's appointments and dosages of
their prescription medication or failing to get prescriptions filled.
PRIMARY
CARE DOCTORS SCARCE
- The dual bureaucracies of government programs and insurance carriers
are running primary care physicians off at warp speed. A survey of
nearly 12,000 primary care physicians revealed that almost half said
that if they had an alternative, they would leave medicine. Reasons
cited: Red tape from insurance companies and programs like Medicare and
Medicaid, lower insurance company reimbursements, and skyrocketing
malpractice insurance.
CHINESE
SOCIAL SECURITY
- As ET said, "We are not alone." The Chinese Communist Party is
grappling with how to creating a new social safety net for millions of
workers cast adrift in the past 15 years. Further, the global economic
downturn could create waves of more unemployed.
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